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# Content
1 \section{Significance of observation of \WZ signal for different final state signatures}
2 \label{sec:Significance_4Cat}
3 Here we provide the results of the procedure described in Section~\ref{ssec:pseudoExperiments}
4 of the note using the background and signal estimated with matrix method using categories
5 in instrumental background given in Table~\ref{tab:FinalXC} (see Figs.~\ref{fig:sls} and \ref{fig:sl_full_new}),
6 and that without using instrumental background categorization given in Table~\ref{tab:FinalNoFit}
7 (see Figs.~\ref{fig:sls_noFit} and \ref{fig:sl_full_new_noFit}). In both cases
8 the systematic uncertainties correspond to 300 \invpb scenario.
9
10 It is important to note that the significance plots are valid as far as the numbers in Tables
11 \ref{tab:FinalXC} and \ref{tab:FinalNoFit} are simply scaled with luminosity. In reality,
12 increase of the luminosity will result in increase of the systematic effects due to the assumption
13 that the misidentified lepton is associated from \W lepton decays. On the other hand, increase
14 in luminosity also result in better understanding of the background processes and, thus, two
15 effects can cancel each other.
16
17 In summary, we estimate that with 300 \invpb, 3.4 $ < S_L < $ 10.1 at 95\% C.L. for the method
18 where individual instrumental background sources are considered, and 5.0 $< S_L <$ 11.7
19 at 95\% C.L. with the method where all instrumental sources of background are treated as one.
20
21
22 \begin{figure}[bt]
23 \subfigure[$3e$]
24 {
25 \includegraphics[width=3.2in] {figs/sl1.eps}
26 }
27 \subfigure[$2e1\mu$]
28 {
29 \includegraphics[width=3.2in] {figs/sl2.eps}
30 }
31 \\
32 \subfigure[$2\mu 1e$]
33 {
34 \includegraphics[width=3.2in] {figs/sl3.eps}
35 }
36 \subfigure[$3\mu$]
37 {
38 \includegraphics[width=3.2in] {figs/sl4.eps}
39 }
40 \caption{Expected value of $S_L$ (black line) and its 68\% (red band) and
41 95\% (green band) CL bands as a function of integrated luminosity
42 for (a) $3e$, (b) $2e1\mu$, (c) $2\mu 1e$, and (d) $3\mu$ final state signatures.}
43 \label{fig:sls}
44 \end{figure}
45
46 \begin{figure}[!tb]
47 \begin{center}
48 \scalebox{0.8}{\includegraphics{figs/sl_full_new.eps}}
49 \caption{Expected value of $S_L$ (black line) and its 68\% (red band) and
50 95\% (green band) CL bands as a function of integrated luminosity
51 for all final state signatures combined.}
52 \label{fig:sl_full_new}
53 \end{center}
54 \end{figure}
55
56 \begin{figure}[bt]
57 \subfigure[$3e$]
58 {
59 \includegraphics[width=3.2in] {figs/sl1_noCat.eps}
60 }
61 \subfigure[$2e1\mu$]
62 {
63 \includegraphics[width=3.2in] {figs/sl2_noCat.eps}
64 }
65 \\
66 \subfigure[$2\mu 1e$]
67 {
68 \includegraphics[width=3.2in] {figs/sl3_noCat.eps}
69 }
70 \subfigure[$3\mu$]
71 {
72 \includegraphics[width=3.2in] {figs/sl4_noCat.eps}
73 }
74 \caption{Expected value of $S_L$ (black line) and its 68\% (red band) and
75 95\% (green band) CL bands as a function of integrated luminosity
76 for (a) $3e$, (b) $2e1\mu$, (c) $2\mu 1e$, and (d) $3\mu$ final state signatures
77 when no categorization of instrumental background is assumed.}
78 \label{fig:sls_noFit}
79 \end{figure}
80
81 \begin{figure}[!tb]
82 \begin{center}
83 \scalebox{0.8}{\includegraphics{figs/sl_full_new_noCat.eps}}
84 \caption{Expected value of $S_L$ (black line) and its 68\% (red band) and
85 95\% (green band) CL bands as a function of integrated luminosity
86 for all final state signatures combined.}
87 \label{fig:sl_full_new_noFit}
88 \end{center}
89 \end{figure}