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1 < - Systematics on selection\\
2 < - On Cross Section for MC\\
3 < - On D0Matrix method\\
1 > \section{Systematic uncertainties}
2 > \label{sec:systematic}
3 > In this section, we estimate systematics uncertainties of the methods
4 > used in this analysis. We follow the rule of making conservative estimates
5 > throughout this section.
6 >
7 > \subsection{Modeling systematics}
8 >
9 > The sources of systematic uncertainties due to modeling of trigger,
10 > reconstruction, PDF, and luminosity are described below
11 >
12 > \begin{itemize}
13 > \item {\it Trigger}: the trigger path used to select four categories
14 > require leptons to be isolated. Though, the isolation criteria
15 > depends on the occupancy of the sub-detectors, the alignment of the
16 > tracker (when considering tracker isolation variables), and noise in
17 > the calorimeters (when considering a calorimetric isolation), the
18 > trigger efficiency is expected to be around 99\%, and therefore, a
19 > systematic uncertainty is conservatively estimated as 1\%. From the
20 > current analysis of $Z\rightarrow l^+l^-$ in
21 > CMS~\cite{Zmumu}~\cite{Zee}, the number of \Z events is estimated of the
22 > order of 50k per 100 pb$^{-1}$ of data analysed. To determine the
23 > trigger efficiency ``tag-and-probe'' method~\cite{TP} will be used.
24 >
25 > \item {\it Reconstruction}: we assign 2\% systematic uncertainty per
26 > lepton due to initial tracker alignment which is of paramount
27 > importance to reconstruct leptons, 2\% and 1\% is assigned for the
28 > determination of the charge of the electron and muon candidates,
29 > respectively. We assigned a larger electron charge identification
30 > uncertainty due to much stronger Bremsstrahlung energy loss which
31 > makes the charge identification more difficult. The mismeasurement of
32 > the charge is of the order of 2\% in CMSSW\_1\_6\_7 release for
33 > electron. The estimation of the fraction with data will be done by
34 > looking at the \Z peak without opposite charge requirement. Then
35 > number of events within the \Z mass windows asking for two leptons of
36 > same sign will give us a estimate of the fraction of mismeasure sign
37 > leptons.
38 >  
39 > \item {\it Lepton identification}: we assign 4\% of systematic
40 > uncertainty due to efficiency measurement from early data using
41 > ``tag-and-probe'' method and 2\% for that for a muon. Additionally we
42 > assign a systematic uncertainty on lepton energy scale of 2\% per
43 > lepton. The leptons scale will be established using the \Z mass peak.
44 >
45 > \item {\it PDF uncertainties}: we estimate PDF uncertainties following prescription
46 > described in~\cite{OldNote}. The uncertainty is found to be
47 > $$ \Delta \sigma_+ ^{tot} = 3.9\% \hspace{0.9cm} \Delta \sigma_- ^{tot} = 3.5\% $$
48 >
49 > \item {\it Luminosity}: we estimate luminosity uncertainty of 10\%.
50 > \end{itemize}
51 >
52 > The systematic uncertainties are summarized in Table~\ref{tab:sys}.
53 >
54 > \begin{table}[!tb]
55 > \begin{center}
56 > \begin{tabular}{|l|c|c|} \hline
57 >                &   \multicolumn{2}{c|}{Systematic uncertainty} \\
58 > Source   &   on the cross section,\%     &  on the signficance,\% \\ \hline
59 > Luminosity  &   10.0   &  -         \\
60 > Trigger & 1.0 & 1.0\\
61 > Lepton reconstruction & 2.0 & 2.0\\
62 > Electron charge determination &2.0& 2.0\\
63 > Muon charge determination &1.0& 1.0\\
64 > Lepton energy scale& 1.0& 1.0\\
65 > Electron identification& 4.0 &4.0\\
66 > Muon identification& 2.0 &2.0\\
67 > PDF uncertainties& + 3.9 & + 3.9\\
68 > &- 3.5  & - 3.5 \\ \hline
69 > \end{tabular}
70 >
71 > \end{center}
72 > \caption{Systematic uncertainties for $pp\rightarrow \WZ$ cross section measurement
73 > and significance estimation for 300~\invpb of integrated luminosity.}
74 > \label{tab:sys}
75 > \end{table}
76 >
77 >
78 > \subsection{Systematic uncertainties due to background estimation method}
79 >
80 > In the following we estimate a systematic uncertainty due to estimation
81 > of background using the matrix method described in Section~\ref{sec:D0Matrix} above.
82 >
83 >
84 >
85 > We present here, the result for the case where the $W$ is decaying via
86 > an electron.
87 >
88 > Two steps will be used to substract the different background: first,
89 > the non peaking background should be substracted, then the background
90 > $Z+jets$ will be determine using the method described
91 > in~\ref{sec:D0Matrix}.
92 >
93 > %From the fit, we will consider a systematics error of 10\%.
94 >
95 > If we consider an error $\Delta p$
96 > %of 4\%
97 > on the fake rate and an error $\Delta \epsilon$
98 > %of 1\%
99 > on the efficiency on signal to go from loose to tight criteria, we can
100 > calculate the error on the estimated background as follow:
101 > \begin{equation}
102 > \Delta N_j ^{t} = \sqrt{\left(\frac{p\left(N_t - pN_l\right)}{\left(\epsilon -p\right)^2}\right)^2 \times \Delta \epsilon^2
103 > +\left(\frac{\epsilon\left(\epsilon N_{l}-N_{t}\right)}{\left(\epsilon -p\right)^2}\right)^2 \times \Delta p^2
104 > + \frac{p^2\left(\epsilon^2\Delta N_{l}^2 -  \Delta N_{t}^2\left(2\epsilon -1\right)\right)}{\left(\epsilon -p\right)^2}}
105 > \end{equation}
106 > where $N_{t}$,$\Delta N_{t}$ and $N_{l}$,$\Delta N_{l}$ represents
107 > respectivement the number of events in the tight sample and in the
108 > loose sample and their errors.$\epsilon$ represent efficiency for a
109 > loose electron to pass the tight criteria.
110 > %, $\Delta \epsilon$ the error on this value.
111 > $p$ gives the probability for a fake loose electron to
112 > pass also the tight criteria.
113 > %and $\Delta p$ its error.
114 >
115 > %The overall error from the background substraction is XXX %18\%.
116 >
117 > \subsection{Summary of Systematics}
118 >
119 > In table~\ref{tab:FullSys}, the systematics errors are expressed for
120 > each channels.
121 >
122 > \begin{table}[!tb]
123 > \begin{center}
124 > \begin{tabular}{|l|c|c|} \hline
125 > Channels   &   Cross Section     & Signficance \\ \hline
126 > 3e  &  +9.3\% / - 9.2\%  +10\% = +13.7\% /  -13.6\%  &  +9.3\% / - 9.2\%         \\
127 > 2e1$\mu$  & +8.7\% / - 8.5\% +10\% = +13.3\% / -13.1\% &  +8.7\% / - 8.5\%         \\
128 > 1e2$\mu$  & +7.6\% / - 7.4\% +10\% = +12.7\% / -12.4\% &  +7.6\% / - 7.4\%         \\
129 > 3$\mu$  &  +6.7\% / - 6.5\% +10\% =  +12.0\% / -11.9\% &  +6.7\% / - 6.5\%         \\\hline
130 > \end{tabular}
131 >
132 > \end{center}
133 > \caption{Systematics per channels in percent for $pp\rightarrow WZ$ cross section measurement and significance estimation for 300 \invpb of integrated luminosity. These systematics do not include the background substraction.}
134 > \label{tab:FullSys}
135 > \end{table}
136 >

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