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Revision 1.11 by vuko, Sat Jun 28 00:54:59 2008 UTC

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1 In this section, we will assign systematics errors to this
2 analysis. The assignement of systematics is expected to be
3 conservatives.
1  
2 < \subsection{Experimental Systematics}
2 > In this section, we estimate systematics uncertainties of the methods
3 > used in this analysis. We follow the rule of making conservative estimates
4 > throughout this section.
5  
6 < The experimental systematics errors expected that will affect the
8 < signal and standard model background are:
9 < \begin{itemize}
10 < \item For trigger selection, a systematics of 1\% is assigned. Even
11 < though the efficiency of the signal is greater than 99\%, the trigger
12 < path used for both muons and electron expect the leptons to be
13 < isolated. As the isolation depends on the occupancy of the events,
14 < the alignment of the tracker (when considering tracker isolation
15 < variables) and noise in the calorimeters (when considering a
16 < calorimetric isolation), this value is expected to be conservative.
17 <
18 < \item 3\% error is assigned on electron/muons reconstruction. Both of
19 < them are link to alignment of the track in order to reconstruct the
20 < leptons. A systematics of 2\% is assigned for the determination of
21 < the charge of the electron candidate while 1\% for the muon as the
22 < electron problem is coming from the high probability of emission of
23 < photons.
24 <
25 < \item A systematics of 1\% will be assigned for the measurement of
26 < the lepton energy.
6 > \subsection{Modeling systematics}
7  
28 \item 4\% of systematics are considered for the electron
29 identification, 2\% for the muon case.
30 \end{itemize}
8  
9 < The PDF uncertainties on the signal has been determined in~\cite{OldNote}.
10 < The uncertainty was found to be:
11 < \begin{equation}
12 < \Delta_+ ^{tot} = 3.9\% \hspace{0.9cm} \Delta_- ^{tot} = 3.5\%
13 < \end{equation}
9 > The sources of systematic uncertainties due to modeling of trigger,
10 > reconstruction, PDF, and luminosity are described below
11 >
12 > \begin{itemize}
13 > \item {\it Trigger}: the trigger path used to select four categories require
14 > leptons to be isolated. Though, the isolation criteria depends on the
15 > occupancy of the sub-detectors, the alignment of the tracker (when
16 > considering tracker isolation variables), and noise in the calorimeters (when
17 > considering a calorimetric isolation), the trigger efficiency is
18 > expected to be around 99\%, and therefore, a systematic uncertainty
19 > is conservatively estimated as 1\%.
20 >
21 > \item {\it Reconstruction}: we assign 2\% systematic uncertainty per lepton
22 > due to initial tracker alignment which is of paramount importance to
23 > reconstruct leptons, 2\% and 1\% is assigned for the determination
24 > of the charge of the electron and muon candidates, respectively. We assigned
25 > a larger electron charge identification uncertainty due to much stronger
26 > Bremsstrahlung energy loss which makes the charge identification more
27 > difficult.
28 >  
29 > \item {\it Lepton identification}: we assign 4\% of systematic uncertainty
30 > due to efficiency measurement from early data using ``tag-and-probe''
31 > method and 2\% for that for a muon. Additionally we assign a systematic
32 > uncertainty on lepton energy scale of 2\% per lepton.
33 >
34 > \item {\it PDF uncertainties}: we estimate PDF uncertainties following prescription
35 > described in~\cite{OldNote}. The uncertainty is found to be
36 > $$ \Delta \sigma_+ ^{tot} = 3.9\% \hspace{0.9cm} \Delta \sigma_- ^{tot} = 3.5\% $$.
37  
38 < The luminosity error is expected to be 10\%.
38 > \item {\it Luminosity}: we estimate luminosity uncertainty of 10\%.
39 > \end{itemize}
40  
41 < The table~\ref{tab:sys} resume all systematics considered.
41 > The systematic uncertainties are summarized in Table~\ref{tab:sys}.
42  
43 < \begin{table}[!]
43 > \begin{table}[!tb]
44   \begin{center}
45   \begin{tabular}{|l|c|c|} \hline
46 < Systematics Source (in \%)   &   Cross Section     & Signficance \\ \hline
46 >                &   \multicolumn{2}{c|}{Systematic uncertainty} \\
47 > Source   &   on the cross section,\%     &  on the signficance,\% \\ \hline
48   Luminosity  &   10.0   &  -         \\
49   Trigger & 1.0 & 1.0\\
50 < Lepton Reconstruction & 3.0 & 3.0\\
51 < Electron Charge Determination &2.0& 2.0\\
52 < Muon Charge Determination &1.0& 1.0\\
53 < Lepton Energy Scale& 1.0& 1.0\\
54 < Electron Identification& 4.0 &4.0\\
55 < Muon Identification& 2.0 &2.0\\
56 < PDF Uncertainties& - & + 3.9\\
50 > Lepton reconstruction & 2.0 & 2.0\\
51 > Electron charge determination &2.0& 2.0\\
52 > Muon charge determination &1.0& 1.0\\
53 > Lepton energy scale& 1.0& 1.0\\
54 > Electron identification& 4.0 &4.0\\
55 > Muon identification& 2.0 &2.0\\
56 > PDF uncertainties& - & + 3.9\\
57   &  & - 3.5 \\ \hline
58   \end{tabular}
59  
60   \end{center}
61 < \caption{Systematics in percent for $pp\rightarrow WZ$ cross section measurement and significance estimation for 1 fb$^-1$ of integrated luminosity.}
61 > \caption{Systematic uncertainties for $pp\rightarrow \WZ$ cross section measurement
62 > and significance estimation for 1 fb$^-1$ of integrated luminosity.}
63   \label{tab:sys}
64   \end{table}
65  
66  
67 < \subsection{Background Substraction Systematics}
67 > \subsection{Systematic uncertainties due to background estimation method}
68 >
69 > In the following we estimate a systematic uncertainty due to estimation
70 > of background using the matrix method described in Section~\ref{sec:D0Matrix} above.
71 >
72 >
73 >
74 > We present here, the result for the case where the $W$ is decaying via
75 > an electron.
76 >
77 > Two steps will be used to substract the different background: first,
78 > the non peaking background should be substracted, then the background
79 > $Z+jets$ will be determine using the method described
80 > in~\ref{sec:D0Matrix}.
81 >
82 > From the fit, we will consider a systematics error of 10\%.
83 >
84 > If we consider an error of 10\%
85 > on the fake rate and an error of 2\%
86 > on the efficiency on signal to go from loose to tight criteria, we can
87 > calculate the error on the estimated background as follow:
88 > \begin{equation}
89 > \Delta N_j ^{t} = \sqrt{\left(\frac{p\left(N_t - pN_l\right)}{\left(\epsilon -p\right)^2}\right)^2 \times \Delta \epsilon^2
90 > +\left(\frac{\epsilon\left(\epsilon N_{l}-N_{t}\right)}{\left(\epsilon -p\right)^2}\right)^2 \times \Delta p^2
91 > + \frac{p^2\left(\epsilon^2\Delta N_{l}^2 -  \Delta N_{t}^2\left(2\epsilon -1\right)\right)}{\left(\epsilon -p\right)^2}}
92 > \end{equation}
93 > where $N_{t}$,$\Delta N_{t}$ and $N_{l}$,$\Delta N_{l}$ represents
94 > respectivement the number of events in the tight sample and in the
95 > loose sample and their errors.$\epsilon$ represent efficiency for a
96 > loose electron to pass the tight criteria, $\Delta \epsilon$ the error
97 > on this value.$p$ gives the probability for a fake loose electron to
98 > pass also the tight criteria and $\Delta p$ its error.
99 >
100 > The overall error from the background substraction is XXX %18\%.
101 >
102 > \subsection{Summary of Systematics}
103 >
104 > In table~\ref{tab:FullSys}, the systematics errors are expressed for
105 > each channels.
106 >
107 > \begin{table}[!tb]
108 > \begin{center}
109 > \begin{tabular}{|l|c|c|} \hline
110 > Channels   &   Cross Section     & Signficance \\ \hline
111 > 3e  &  8.4\% +10\% = 13.1\%  &  +9.3\% / - 9.2\%         \\
112 > 2e1$\mu$  & 7.7\% +10\% = 12.6\%  &  +8.7\% / - 8.5\%         \\
113 > 1e2$\mu$  &  6.5\% +10\% = 11.9\%  &  +7.6\% / - 7.4\%         \\
114 > 3$\mu$  &  5.5\% +10\% = 11.4\%  &  +6.7\% / - 6.5\%         \\\hline
115 > \end{tabular}
116 >
117 > \end{center}
118 > \caption{Systematics per channels in percent for $pp\rightarrow WZ$ cross section measurement and significance estimation for 1 fb$^-1$ of integrated luminosity. These systematics do not include the background substraction.}
119 > \label{tab:FullSys}
120 > \end{table}
121  
66 Two methods will be used to substract the different background. The
67 main background is the production $Z+jets$. Such background can be
68 estimated using data as presented in section~\ref{sec:SignalExt}. For
69 the $t\bar{t}$ background, we can use safely the side band around the
70 $Z$ mass in order to evaluate it.

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