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Comparing UserCode/benhoob/cmsnotes/OSPAS2011/limit.tex (file contents):
Revision 1.5 by benhoob, Tue Jun 14 09:28:12 2011 UTC vs.
Revision 1.8 by benhoob, Wed Jun 15 09:30:54 2011 UTC

# Line 3 | Line 3
3  
4   We set an upper limit on the signal yield extracted by the fit to the dilepton mass
5   distribution, assuming the LM1 shape. The 95\% confidence level (CL) upper limit (UL)
6 < is extracted using a profile likelihood technique, giving an UL of 18 events, including
7 < uncertainties in the resolution model and $Z$ yield.
8 < The expected LM1 yield is 23 $\pm$ X events including the uncertainties from trigger efficiency,
9 < lepton selection efficiency, hadronic energy scale and integrated luminosity; hence LM1 is excluded by these results.
6 > is extracted using a profile likelihood technique, giving an UL of 14.3 events, including
7 > uncertainties in the background yield and shape, resolution model and $Z$ yield.
8 > In the limit setting we also include the uncertainties from trigger efficiency,
9 > lepton selection efficiency, hadronic energy scale and integrated luminosity on the signal efficiency.
10 > The expected LM1 yield is 23 $\pm$ 3 events.
11  
12   We set upper limits on the non-SM contributions to the high \MET\ and high \Ht\ signal regions.
13   For both regions, we find reasonable agreement between the observed yields and the predictions from MC and from the 2
14   data-driven methods. We choose here to extract the upper limits using the MC prediction for the
15   background estimate. The 95\% CL upper limit is extracted using a Bayesian technique~\cite{ref:cl95cms},
16 < with a log-normal model of nuissance parameter integration. The results are summarized in
17 < Table~\ref{tab:results}. Based on these results, we exclude LM1.
16 > with a log-normal model of nuissance parameter integration assuming 0 signal . The results are summarized in
17 > Table~\ref{tab:results}.
18  
19   \begin{table}[hbt]
20   \begin{center}
21   \caption{\label{tab:results}
22 < Summary of the observed and predicted yields in the 2 signal regions. The error in the MC prediction is statistical only.
22 > Summary of the observed and predicted yields in the 2 signal regions. The uncertainty in the MC prediction is statistical only.
23   The systematic uncertainties on the ABCD', \ptll, and OF subtraction predictions are discussed in the text. The non-SM yield UL is a
24   Bayesian 95\% confidence level upper limit. The LM1 and LM3 yields include uncertainties from trigger efficiency,
25   lepton selection efficiency, hadronic energy scale and integrated luminosity.
# Line 33 | Line 34 | MC prediction                          &
34   ABCD' prediction                       &   1.2 $\pm$ 0.4 (stat) $\pm$ 0.5 (syst)  & 0.0 $\pm$ 0.6 (stat) $\pm$ 0.3 (syst) \\
35   \ptll\ prediction                      &   5.4 $\pm$ 3.8 (stat) $\pm$ 2.2 (syst)  & 1.7 $\pm$ 1.7 (stat) $\pm$ 0.6 (syst) \\
36   non-SM yield UL                        &                 5.2                      &               4.1                     \\
37 < LM1 yield                              &                17 $\pm$ 3.1              &             14 $\pm$ 3.1              \\
38 < LM3 yield                              &               4.3 $\pm$ 0.9              &            4.3 $\pm$ 1.0              \\
37 > LM1 yield                              &                17 $\pm$ 2.5              &             14 $\pm$ 2.9              \\
38 > LM3 yield                              &               6.4 $\pm$ 1.2              &            6.7 $\pm$ 1.5              \\
39   \hline
40   OF subtraction ($\Delta$)              &   1.3 $\pm$ 1.9 (stat) $\pm$ 0.1 (syst)  & 0.1 $\pm$ 1.5 (stat) $\pm$ 0.0 (syst) \\
41   \hline

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