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1   \section{Interpretation}
2 + \label{sec:interpretation}
3  
4 < The results of this search will be interpreted in the context of simplified model spectra (SMS).
5 < For the inclusive analysis, we will use the T5zz model depicted in Fig.~\ref{fig:diagrams} (left).
6 < For the targeted analysis, we will use the TChiWZ model depicted in Fig.~\ref{fig:diagrams} (right),
7 < and a GMSB model which produces a signature of \zzmet.
4 > {\bf All results in this section correspond to 9.2 fb$^{-1}$ results and will be updated later.}
5 > In this section, we interpret the results of the targeted search in the context of the \wzmet\ model depicted in Fig.~\ref{fig:diagrams} (right)
6 > and a gauge-mediated SUSY breaking (GMSB) model that produces a signature of \zzmet\ will be added. The results of the targeted search presented here
7 > will be combined with those of the trilepton ewkino search for the final \wzmet\ interpretation, and with the quadlepton ewkino search
8 > for the final GMSB \zzmet\ interpretation.
9 >
10 > The exclusion is performed using the results of simultaneous counting experiments in the five exclusive \MET\ signal regions defined by \MET\ $>$ 80 GeV,
11 > as summarized in Table~\ref{tab:results_targ} (commonly referred to as a ``shape analysis'').
12 > The upper limit calculation is performed with the LandS software using the LHC-type CLs criterion.
13 > The signal efficiency uncertainties include the luminosity (4.4\%), acceptance for the b-jet veto (4\%), lepton ID and isolation efficiency (2\% per lepton),
14 > and trigger efficiency (3\%). The uncertainty from JES is determined following the POG-recommended procedure, by varying the jet energies by the
15 > \pt- and $\eta$-dependent uncertainties and propagating this to the jet multiplicity, dijet mass, and \MET.
16 > The background uncertainties are quoted in Table~\ref{tab:results_targ}. For each background contribution, the uncertainty is assumed to be 100\%
17 > correlated across all signal regions.
18 >
19 > For the \wzmet\ model, the signal efficiency times acceptance and cross section upper limits are displayed in Fig.~\ref{fig:results_wzmet},
20 > along with the observed and expected exclusion contours, which are compared to the 2011 observed exclusion contour.
21 > Figure~\ref{fig:results_wzmetpoints} shows the excluded points used to derive the exclusion contours. We note that the map of exclusion
22 > contours appears quite ragged since for many of the points the cross section upper limit is very close to the theory cross section.
23 > Therefore we do not expect the ragged exclusion region to be an issue for the final results since
24 > we currently have 9.2 fb$^{-1}$ and expect the luminosity to increase significantly. A {\bf VERY APPROXIMATE} projection of the expected excluded region
25 > for an integrated luminosity of 15 fb$^{-1}$ (a rough guess at the final HCP data sample) is obtained by scaling the expected cross section limits by
26 > $\sqrt{(9.2 \rm{fb}^{-1})/(15 \rm{fb}^{-1})}$, as displayed in Fig.~\ref{fig:results_15fb}.
27 >
28 > \begin{figure}[!ht]
29 > \begin{center}
30 > \begin{tabular}{cc}
31 > \includegraphics[width=0.45\textwidth]{plots/wzsms_eff.pdf}
32 > \includegraphics[width=0.45\textwidth]{plots/wzsms_xsec.pdf}
33 > \end{tabular}
34 > \caption{ Interpretation of the targeted analysis in the \wzmet\ model. The acceptance times efficiency (left) and cross section
35 > upper limit (right) are displayed. The observed and expected exclusion contours are indicated and compared to the observed
36 > exclusion from the 2011 analysis.
37 > %\newline
38 > %Interpretation of the $\rm{Z}+\rm{dijet}$ analysis in the \wzmet\ model of Fig.~2(a).
39 > %The shading indicates the cross section upper limit. The observed and expected exclusion contours are indicated and compared to the observed
40 > %exclusion from the 2011 analysis. The region below the contours is excluded at 95\% confidence level.
41 > \label{fig:results_wzmet}}
42 > \end{center}
43 > \end{figure}
44 >
45 > \begin{figure}[!hb]
46 > \begin{center}
47 > \includegraphics[width=0.75\textwidth]{plots/wzsms_points.pdf}
48 > \caption{ Observed (left) and expected (right) excluded points for the \wzmet\ interpretation, with the corresponding exclusion contours overlaid.
49 > \label{fig:results_wzmetpoints}}
50 > \end{center}
51 > \end{figure}
52 >
53 > \clearpage
54 >
55 > \begin{figure}[!ht]
56 > \begin{center}
57 > \includegraphics[width=0.5\textwidth]{plots/wzsms_expected_15fb.pdf}
58 > \caption{ A {\bf VERY APPROXIMATE} projection of the expected excluded points for an integrated luminosity of 15$^{-1}$.
59 > \label{fig:results_15fb}}
60 > \end{center}
61 > \end{figure}
62 >
63 > The results of the interpretation in the GMSB \zzmet\ model are displayed in Fig.~\ref{fig:results_gmsb},
64 > as a function of the chargino and neutralino mass parameter $\mu$. These results exclude the range $196 < \mu < 316$~GeV.
65 >
66 > \begin{figure}[!hb]
67 > \begin{center}
68 > \includegraphics[width=0.5\textwidth]{plots/ZDIJET_GMSB.pdf}
69 > \caption{ Interpretation of the targeted analysis in the GMSB \zzmet\ model.
70 > %\newline
71 > %Interpretation of the $\rm{Z}+\rm{dijet}$ analysis in the GMSB model discussed in the text.
72 > %The observed and expected cross section upper limits are indicated as a function of the mass parameter $\mu$, and are compared to the theory
73 > %cross section. The region $196 < \mu < 316$~GeV is excluded at 95\% confidence level.
74 > \label{fig:results_gmsb}}
75 > \end{center}
76 > \end{figure}
77 >
78 >
79 >
80 > \begin{table}[htb]
81 > \begin{center}
82 > \footnotesize
83 > \caption{\label{tab:gmsb} Summary of the parameters for the GMSB model used for the \zzmet\ interpretation.
84 > The masses of the lightest and second light neutralino, lightest chargino, and total next-to-leading order
85 > cross section, are indicated.}
86 > \begin{tabular}{l|cccc}
87 > \hline
88 > \hline
89 > $\mu$ [GeV] & $m_{\chizi}$ [GeV] & $m_{\chizii}$ [GeV] & $m_{\chipm}$ [GeV] & $\sigma_{\mathrm{NLO}}$ [pb] \\
90 > %$\mu$ [GeV] & $m_{\chizi}$ [GeV] &  &  &  \\
91 > \hline
92 > %110 & 102 & 111 & 104 & 7.3 \\
93 > 130 & 122 & 131 & 124 & 3.8  \\
94 > 150 & 141 & 151 & 144 & 2.1  \\
95 > 170 & 161 & 171 & 164 & 1.3  \\
96 > 190 & 181 & 191 & 184 & 0.84 \\
97 > 210 & 201 & 211 & 203 & 0.56 \\
98 > 230 & 221 & 231 & 223 & 0.38 \\
99 > 250 & 240 & 251 & 243 & 0.27 \\
100 > 270 & 260 & 271 & 263 & 0.20 \\
101 > 290 & 280 & 291 & 283 & 0.14 \\
102 > 310 & 299 & 311 & 302 & 0.11 \\
103 > 330 & 319 & 331 & 322 & 0.080 \\
104 > 350 & 339 & 351 & 342 & 0.061 \\
105 > 370 & 358 & 371 & 362 & 0.047 \\
106 > 390 & 378 & 391 & 381 & 0.037 \\
107 > 410 & 398 & 411 & 401 & 0.029 \\
108 > \hline
109 > \hline
110 > \end{tabular}
111 > \end{center}
112 > \end{table}

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