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Revision 1.5 by benhoob, Tue Oct 2 09:27:42 2012 UTC

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1   \section{Interpretation}
2 + \label{sec:interpretation}
3  
4 < The results of this search will be interpreted in the context of simplified model spectra (SMS).
5 < For the inclusive analysis, we will use the T5zz model depicted in Fig.~\ref{fig:diagrams} (left).
6 < For the targeted analysis, we will use the TChiWZ model depicted in Fig.~\ref{fig:diagrams} (right),
7 < and a GMSB model which produces a signature of \zzmet.
4 > In this section, we interpret the results of the targeted search in the context of the \wzmet\ model depicted in Fig.~\ref{fig:diagrams} (right)
5 > and a gauge-mediated SUSY breaking (GMSB) model that produces a signature of \zzmet\ will be added. The results of the targeted search presented here
6 > will be combined with those of the trilepton ewkino search for the final \wzmet\ interpretation, and with the quadlepton ewkino search
7 > for the final GMSB \zzmet\ interpretation.
8 >
9 > The exclusion is performed using the results of simultaneous counting experiments in the five exclusive \MET\ signal regions defined by \MET\ $>$ 80 GeV,
10 > as summarized in Table~\ref{tab:results_targ} (commonly referred to as a ``shape analysis'').
11 > The upper limit calculation is performed with the LandS software using the LHC-type CLs criterion.
12 > The signal efficiency uncertainties include the luminosity (4.4\%), acceptance for the b-jet veto (4\%), lepton ID and isolation efficiency (2\% per lepton),
13 > and trigger efficiency (3\%). The uncertainty from JES is determined following the POG-recommended procedure, by varying the jet energies by the
14 > \pt- and $\eta$-dependent uncertainties and propagating this to the jet multiplicity, dijet mass, and \MET.
15 > The background uncertainties are quoted in Table~\ref{tab:results_targ}. For each background contribution, the uncertainty is assumed to be 100\%
16 > correlated across all signal regions.
17 >
18 > For the \wzmet\ model, the signal efficiency times acceptance and cross section upper limits are displayed in Fig.~\ref{fig:results_wzmet},
19 > along with the observed and expected exclusion contours, which are compared to the 2011 observed exclusion contour.
20 > Figure~\ref{fig:results_wzmetpoints} shows the excluded points used to derive the exclusion contours. We note that the map of exclusion
21 > contours appears quite ragged since for many of the points the cross section upper limit is very close to the theory cross section.
22 > Therefore we do not expect the ragged exclusion region to be an issue for the final results since
23 > we currently have 9.2 fb$^{-1}$ and expect the luminosity to increase significantly. A {\bf VERY APPROXIMATE} projection of the expected excluded region
24 > for an integrated luminosity of 15 fb$^{-1}$ (a rough guess at the final HCP data sample) is obtained by scaling the expected cross section limits by
25 > $\sqrt{(9.2 \rm{fb}^{-1})/(15 \rm{fb}^{-1})}$, as displayed in Fig.~\ref{fig:results_15fb}.
26 >
27 > \begin{figure}[!ht]
28 > \begin{center}
29 > \begin{tabular}{cc}
30 > \includegraphics[width=0.45\textwidth]{plots/wzsms_eff.pdf}
31 > \includegraphics[width=0.45\textwidth]{plots/wzsms_xsec.pdf}
32 > \end{tabular}
33 > \caption{ Interpretation of the targeted analysis in the \wzmet\ model. The acceptance times efficiency (left) and cross section
34 > upper limit (right) and displayed. The observed and expected exclusion contours are indicated and compared to the observed
35 > exclusion from the 2011 analysis.
36 > \label{fig:results_wzmet}}
37 > \end{center}
38 > \end{figure}
39 >
40 > \begin{figure}[!hb]
41 > \begin{center}
42 > \includegraphics[width=0.75\textwidth]{plots/wzsms_points.pdf}
43 > \caption{ Observed (left) and expected (right) excluded points for the \wzmet\ interpretation, with the corresponding exclusion contours overlaid.
44 > \label{fig:results_wzmetpoints}}
45 > \end{center}
46 > \end{figure}
47 >
48 > \clearpage
49 >
50 > \begin{figure}[!ht]
51 > \begin{center}
52 > \includegraphics[width=0.5\textwidth]{plots/wzsms_expected_15fb.pdf}
53 > \caption{ A {\bf VERY APPROXIMATE} projection of the expected excluded points for an integrated luminosity of 15$^{-1}$.
54 > \label{fig:results_15fb}}
55 > \end{center}
56 > \end{figure}
57 >
58 > The results of the interpretation in the GMSB \zzmet\ model are displayed in Fig.~\ref{fig:results_gmsb},
59 > as a function of the chargino and neutralino mass parameter $\mu$. These results exclude the range $196 < \mu < 316$~GeV.
60 >
61 > \begin{figure}[!hb]
62 > \begin{center}
63 > \includegraphics[width=0.5\textwidth]{plots/ZDIJET_GMSB.pdf}
64 > \caption{ Interpretation of the targeted analysis in the GMSB \zzmet\ model.
65 > \label{fig:results_gmsb}}
66 > \end{center}
67 > \end{figure}

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