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Comparing UserCode/cbrown/AnalysisFramework/Plotting/Modules/LimitCalculation.C (file contents):
Revision 1.3 by buchmann, Wed Jul 20 08:52:17 2011 UTC vs.
Revision 1.31 by buchmann, Thu Nov 24 08:19:17 2011 UTC

# Line 1 | Line 1
1 + /****
2 +
3 + Off peak status (RestrictToMassPeak) :
4 +
5 + x  Necessary adaptations identified
6 + x  Started working on necessary adaptations
7 + x  Necessary adaptations implemented
8 + x  Necessary adaptations tested
9 +
10 + DONE!
11 +
12 +
13 + ****/
14   #include <iostream>
15   #include <vector>
16   #include <sys/stat.h>
17 + #include <fstream>
18  
19   #include <TCut.h>
20   #include <TROOT.h>
# Line 14 | Line 28
28   #include <TF1.h>
29   #include <TSQLResult.h>
30   #include <TProfile.h>
31 + #include <TSystem.h>
32 + #include "LimitDroplet.C"
33  
34   //#include "TTbar_stuff.C"
35   using namespace std;
# Line 167 | Line 183 | ratio_binning.push_back(80);
183    
184   }
185  
186 < void calculate_upper_limits(string mcjzb, string datajzb) {
187 <  write_warning("calculate_upper_limits","Upper limit calculation temporarily deactivated");
188 < //  write_warning("calculate_upper_limits","Calculation of SUSY upper limits has been temporarily suspended in favor of top discovery");
189 < //  rediscover_the_top(mcjzb,datajzb);
190 < /*  
191 <  TCanvas *c3 = new TCanvas("c3","c3");
192 <  c3->SetLogy(1);
193 <  vector<float> binning;
194 <  //binning=allsamples.get_optimal_binsize(mcjzb,cutmass&&cutOSSF&&cutnJets,20,50,800);
195 <  binning.push_back(50);
196 <  binning.push_back(100);
197 <  binning.push_back(150);
198 <  binning.push_back(200);
199 <  binning.push_back(500);
200 <  TH1F *datapredictiona = allsamples.Draw("datapredictiona",    "-"+datajzb,  binning, "JZB [GeV]", "events", cutmass&&cutOSSF&&cutnJets,mc,  luminosity);
201 <  TH1F *datapredictionb = allsamples.Draw("datapredictionb",    "-"+datajzb,  binning, "JZB [GeV]", "events", cutmass&&cutOSOF&&cutnJets,mc,  luminosity);
202 <  TH1F *datapredictionc = allsamples.Draw("datapredictionc",    datajzb,  binning, "JZB [GeV]", "events", cutmass&&cutOSOF&&cutnJets,mc,  luminosity);
203 <  TH1F *dataprediction = (TH1F*)datapredictiona->Clone();
204 <  dataprediction->Add(datapredictionb,-1);
205 <  dataprediction->Add(datapredictionc);
206 <  TH1F *puresignal     = allsamples.Draw("puresignal",        mcjzb,  binning, "JZB [GeV]", "events", cutmass&&cutOSSF&&cutnJets,mc,  luminosity,allsamples.FindSample("LM4"));
207 <  TH1F *signalpred     = allsamples.Draw("signalpred",    "-"+mcjzb,  binning, "JZB [GeV]", "events", cutmass&&cutOSSF&&cutnJets,mc,  luminosity,allsamples.FindSample("LM4"));
208 <  TH1F *signalpredlo   = allsamples.Draw("signalpredlo",  "-"+mcjzb,  binning, "JZB [GeV]", "events", cutmass&&cutOSOF&&cutnJets,mc,  luminosity,allsamples.FindSample("LM4"));
209 <  TH1F *signalpredro   = allsamples.Draw("signalpredro",      mcjzb,  binning, "JZB [GeV]", "events", cutmass&&cutOSOF&&cutnJets,mc,  luminosity,allsamples.FindSample("LM4"));
210 <  TH1F *puredata       = allsamples.Draw("puredata",          datajzb,binning, "JZB [GeV]", "events", cutmass&&cutOSSF&&cutnJets,data,luminosity);
211 <  signalpred->Add(signalpredlo,-1);
212 <  signalpred->Add(signalpredro);
213 <  puresignal->Add(signalpred,-1);//subtracting signal contamination
214 <  ofstream myfile;
215 <  myfile.open ("ShapeFit_log.txt");
216 <  establish_upper_limits(puredata,dataprediction,puresignal,"LM4",myfile);
217 <  myfile.close();
218 < */
219 < }
186 > vector<float> compute_one_upper_limit(float mceff,float mcefferr, int ibin, string mcjzb, string plotfilename, bool doexpected, int flipped) {
187 >  float sigma95=-9.9,sigma95A=-9.9;
188 > /*
189 > USAGE OF ROOSTATS_CL95
190 > " Double_t             limit = roostats_cl95(ilum, slum, eff, seff, bck, sbck, n, gauss = false, nuisanceModel, method, plotFileName, seed); \n"
191 > " LimitResult expected_limit = roostats_clm(ilum, slum, eff, seff, bck, sbck, ntoys, nuisanceModel, method, seed); \n"
192 > " Double_t     average_limit = roostats_cla(ilum, slum, eff, seff, bck, sbck, nuisanceModel, method, seed); \n"
193 > "                                                                     \n"
194 > "
195 > " Double_t obs_limit = limit.GetObservedLimit();                      \n"
196 > " Double_t exp_limit = limit.GetExpectedLimit();                      \n"
197 > " Double_t exp_up    = limit.GetOneSigmaHighRange();                  \n"
198 > " Double_t exp_down  = limit.GetOneSigmaLowRange();                   \n"
199 > " Double_t exp_2up   = limit.GetTwoSigmaHighRange();                  \n"
200 > " Double_t exp_2down = limit.GetTwoSigmaLowRange();                   \n"
201 > */
202 >  if(mceff<=0) {
203 >    write_warning(__FUNCTION__,"Cannot compute upper limit in this configuration as the efficiency is negative:");
204 >    dout << "mc efficiency=" << mceff << " +/- " << mcefferr;
205 >    vector<float> sigmas;
206 >    sigmas.push_back(-1);
207 >    sigmas.push_back(-1);
208 >    return sigmas;
209 >  } else {
210 >    int nlimittoysused=1;
211 >    
212 >    ///------------------------------------------ < NEW > ----------------------------------------------------------
213 >    
214 >    int secondssince1970=time(NULL);
215 >    stringstream repname;
216 >    repname << PlottingSetup::cbafbasedir << "/exchange/report_" << secondssince1970 << "_"<<plotfilename<< "__"<< ".txt";
217 >    
218 >      /* - report filename [1]
219 >         - luminosity [2]
220 >         - lumi uncert [3]
221 >         - MC efficiency [4]
222 >         - MC efficiency error [5]
223 >         - Npred [6]
224 >         - Nprederr [7]
225 >         - Nobs [8]
226 >         - JZB cut [9]
227 >         - plot name  [10]*/
228 >
229 >  if(flipped==0) dout << "Calling limit capsule instead of calling : CL95(" << luminosity << "," <<  lumiuncert*luminosity << "," << mceff << "," << mcefferr << "," << Npred[ibin] << "," << Nprederr[ibin] << "," << Nobs[ibin] << "," << false << "," << nuisancemodel<< ") " << endl;
230 >  if(flipped>0) dout << "Calling limit capsule instead of calling : CL95(" << luminosity << "," <<  lumiuncert*luminosity << "," << mceff << "," << mcefferr << "," << flippedNpred[ibin] << "," << flippedNprederr[ibin] << "," << flippedNobs[ibin] << "," << false << "," << nuisancemodel<< ") " << endl;
231 >    
232 >    stringstream command;
233 >    if(flipped==0) command << PlottingSetup::cbafbasedir << "/DistributedModelCalculations/Limits/TimedLimitCapsule.exec " << repname.str() << " " << luminosity << " " << luminosity*lumiuncert << " " << mceff << " " << mcefferr << " " << Npred[ibin] << " " << Nprederr[ibin] << " " << Nobs[ibin] << " " << -1 << " " << PlottingSetup::basedirectory << "/" << plotfilename << " " << doexpected;
234 >    if(flipped>0) command << PlottingSetup::cbafbasedir << "/DistributedModelCalculations/Limits/TimedLimitCapsule.exec " << repname.str() << " " << luminosity << " " << luminosity*lumiuncert << " " << mceff << " " << mcefferr << " " << flippedNpred[ibin] << " " << flippedNprederr[ibin] << " " << flippedNobs[ibin] << " " << -1 << " " << PlottingSetup::basedirectory << "/" << plotfilename << " " << doexpected;
235 >    dout << command.str() << endl;
236 >    
237 >    int retval = 256;
238 >    int attempts=0;
239 >    while(!(retval==0||attempts>=3)) {//try up to 3 times
240 >        attempts++;
241 >        dout << "Starting limit calculation (TimedLimitCapsule) now : Attempt " << attempts << endl;
242 >        retval=gSystem->Exec(command.str().c_str());
243 >    }
244 >    char hostname[1023];
245 >    gethostname(hostname,1023);
246 >    if((!((Contains(hostname,"t3ui")||Contains(hostname,"t3wn"))))&&retval==256) {
247 >        //running via CRAB and encountered the same problem too often: place a problem file to mark this problem!
248 >        stringstream markproblem;
249 >        markproblem << "touch " << PlottingSetup::basedirectory << "/exchange/problemswhilesettinglimits.txt";
250 >        gSystem->Exec(markproblem.str().c_str());      
251 >    }
252 >    LimitDroplet limres;
253 >    limres.readDroplet(repname.str());
254 >    dout << limres << endl;
255 >    remove(repname.str().c_str());
256 >    sigma95=limres.observed;
257  
258 < vector<float> compute_one_upper_limit(float mceff,float mcefferr, int ibin, string mcjzb, bool doobserved=false) {
259 <  float sigma95=0.0,sigma95A=0.0;
207 <  dout << "Now calling : CL95(" << luminosity << "," <<  lumiuncert*luminosity << "," << mceff << "," << mcefferr << "," << Npred[ibin] << "," << Nprederr[ibin] << "," << Nobs[ibin] << "," << false << "," << 1<< ") " << endl;
208 <  sigma95 = CL95(luminosity, lumiuncert*luminosity, mceff, mcefferr, Npred[ibin], Nprederr[ibin], Nobs[ibin], false, 1);
209 <  if(doobserved) {
210 <    dout << "Now calling : CL95A(" << luminosity << "," <<  lumiuncert*luminosity << "," << mceff << "," << mcefferr << "," << Npred[ibin] << "," << Nprederr[ibin] << "," << 1<< ") " << endl;
211 <    sigma95A = CLA(luminosity, lumiuncert*luminosity, mceff, mcefferr, Npred[ibin], Nprederr[ibin], 1);
212 <  }
258 >    
259 >    ///------------------------------------------ < /NEW > ----------------------------------------------------------
260    vector<float> sigmas;
261    sigmas.push_back(sigma95);
262 <  sigmas.push_back(sigma95A);
262 >  if(doexpected) {
263 >    sigmas.push_back(limres.expected);
264 >    sigmas.push_back(limres.upper68);
265 >    sigmas.push_back(limres.lower68);
266 >    sigmas.push_back(limres.upper95);
267 >    sigmas.push_back(limres.lower95);
268 >  }
269 >  
270    return sigmas;
271 +  
272 +
273 +  }//end of mc efficiency is ok
274   }
275  
276 < void compute_upper_limits_from_counting_experiment(vector<vector<float> > uncertainties,vector<float> jzbcuts, string mcjzb, bool doobserved) {
276 > void compute_upper_limits_from_counting_experiment(vector<vector<float> > uncertainties,vector<float> jzbcuts, string mcjzb, bool doexpected, int flipped) {
277    dout << "Doing counting experiment ... " << endl;
278    vector<vector<string> > limits;
279    vector<vector<float> > vlimits;
# Line 234 | Line 291 | void compute_upper_limits_from_counting_
291        float staterr=uncertainties[isample*jzbcuts.size()+ibin][2];
292        float systerr=uncertainties[isample*jzbcuts.size()+ibin][3];
293        float toterr =uncertainties[isample*jzbcuts.size()+ibin][4];
294 <      float observed,null,result;
238 <      fill_result_histos(observed, null,null,null,null,null,null,null,mcjzb,JZBcutat,(int)5,result,(signalsamples.FindSample(signalsamples.collection[isample].filename)),signalsamples);
239 <      observed-=result;//this is the actual excess we see!
240 <      float expected=observed/luminosity;
294 >      float observed,observederr,null,result;
295        
296 +      string plotfilename=(string)(TString(signalsamples.collection[isample].samplename)+TString("___JZB_geq_")+TString(any2string(JZBcutat))+TString(".png"));
297        dout << "Sample: " << signalsamples.collection[isample].samplename << ", JZB>"<<JZBcutat<< " : " << mceff << " +/- " << staterr << " (stat) +/- " << systerr << " (syst) --> toterr = " << toterr << endl;
298 <      vector<float> sigmas = compute_one_upper_limit(mceff,toterr,ibin,mcjzb,doobserved);
299 <      
300 <      if(doobserved) {
301 <        rows.push_back(any2string(sigmas[0])+";"+any2string(sigmas[1])+";"+"("+any2string(expected)+")");
298 >      vector<float> sigmas = compute_one_upper_limit(mceff,toterr,ibin,mcjzb,plotfilename,doexpected,flipped);
299 >
300 >      tripple LibraryUpperLimits;
301 >      LibraryUpperLimits.name=signalsamples.collection[isample].samplename;
302 >      LibraryUpperLimits.first=mceff*signalsamples.collection[isample].xs * PlottingSetup::luminosity;
303 >      LibraryUpperLimits.second=staterr*signalsamples.collection[isample].xs * PlottingSetup::luminosity;
304 >      int resultindex=PlottingSetup::allresults.Find(jzbcuts[ibin]);
305 >      (allresults.predictions[resultindex]).SignalYield.push_back(LibraryUpperLimits);
306 >
307 >      if(doexpected) {
308 >        rows.push_back(any2string(sigmas[0])+";"+any2string(sigmas[1])+";"+"("+any2string(signalsamples.collection[isample].xs)+")");
309          vrows.push_back(sigmas[0]);
310          vrows.push_back(sigmas[1]);
311 <        vrows.push_back(expected);
311 >        vrows.push_back(signalsamples.collection[isample].xs);
312        }
313        else {
314 <        rows.push_back(any2string(sigmas[0])+"("+any2string(expected)+")");
314 >        rows.push_back(any2string(sigmas[0]));
315          vrows.push_back(sigmas[0]);
316 <        vrows.push_back(expected);
316 >        vrows.push_back(signalsamples.collection[isample].xs);
317        }
318      }//end of bin loop
319      limits.push_back(rows);
320      vlimits.push_back(vrows);
321    }//end of sample loop
322 <  dout << endl << endl << "PAS table 3: " << endl << endl;
322 >
323 >  dout << endl << endl << "_______________________________________________________________________________________" << endl;
324 >  dout << "Going to store upper limit on event yield in result library: " << endl;
325 >  for(int ibin=0;ibin<jzbcuts.size();ibin++) {
326 >      int resultindex=PlottingSetup::allresults.Find(jzbcuts[ibin]);
327 >      vector<float> Normsigmas = compute_one_upper_limit(1.0,0.0, resultindex, mcjzb, "UPPERLIMIT", false, 0);
328 >      (allresults.predictions[resultindex]).UpperLimit=Normsigmas[0]*PlottingSetup::luminosity;
329 >  }
330 >  dout << endl << "_______________________________________________________________________________________" << endl;
331 >
332 >  dout << endl << endl << endl << "_________________________________________________________________________________________________" << endl << endl;
333 >  dout << endl << endl << "PAS table 3:   (notation: limit [95%CL])" << endl << endl;
334    dout << "\t";
335    for (int irow=0;irow<jzbcuts.size();irow++) {
336      dout << jzbcuts[irow] << "\t";
# Line 265 | Line 338 | void compute_upper_limits_from_counting_
338    dout << endl;
339    for(int irow=0;irow<limits.size();irow++) {
340      for(int ientry=0;ientry<limits[irow].size();ientry++) {
341 <      dout << limits[irow][ientry] << "\t";
341 >      if (limits[irow][ientry]>0) dout << limits[irow][ientry] << "\t";
342 >      else dout << " (N/A) \t";
343      }
344      dout << endl;
345    }
346    
347 <  if(!doobserved) {
348 <    dout << endl << endl << "LIMITS: " << endl;
349 <    dout << "\t";
347 >  if(!doexpected) {
348 >    dout << endl << endl << "LIMITS: (Tex)" << endl;
349 >    tout << "\\begin{table}[hbtp]" << endl;
350 >    tout << "\\renewcommand{\\arraystretch}{1.3}" << endl;
351 >    tout << "\\begin{center}" << endl;
352 >    tout << "\\caption{Observed upper limits on the cross section of different LM benchmark points " << (ConsiderSignalContaminationForLimits?"  (accounting for signal contamination)":"  (not accounting for signal contamination)") << "}\\label{tab:lmresults}" << endl;
353 >    tout << "" << endl;
354 >    tout << "\\begin{tabular}{ | l | ";
355 >    for (int irow=0;irow<jzbcuts.size();irow++) tout << " l |";
356 >    tout << "} " << endl << " \\hline " << endl << "& \t ";
357      for (int irow=0;irow<jzbcuts.size();irow++) {
358 <      dout << jzbcuts[irow] << "\t";
358 >      tout << "JZB $>$ " << jzbcuts[irow] << " GeV & \t ";
359      }
360 <    dout << endl;
360 >    tout << " \\\\ \\hline " << endl;
361      for(int irow=0;irow<limits.size();irow++) {
362 <      dout << limits[irow][0] << "\t";
362 >      tout << limits[irow][0] << " \t";
363        for(int ientry=0;ientry<jzbcuts.size();ientry++) {
364 <        dout << Round(vlimits[irow][2*ientry] / vlimits[irow][2*ientry+1],3)<< "\t";
364 >        if(vlimits[irow][2*ientry]>0) tout << " & " << Round(vlimits[irow][2*ientry],2) << " \t (" << Round(vlimits[irow][2*ientry] / vlimits[irow][2*ientry+1],3)<< "x \\sigma ) \t";
365 >        else tout << " & ( N / A ) \t";
366 > //      dout << Round(vlimits[irow][2*ientry],3) << " / " << Round(vlimits[irow][2*ientry+1],3)<< "\t";
367        }
368 <      dout << endl;
368 >      tout << " \\\\ \\hline " << endl;
369      }
370 +      tout << "\\end{tabular}" << endl;
371 +      tout << "      \\end{tabular}"<< endl;
372 +      tout << "\\end{center}"<< endl;
373 +      tout << "\\end{table} "<< endl;
374 +
375    }//do observed
376    
377    dout << endl << endl << "Final selection efficiencies with total statistical and systematic errors, and corresponding observed and expected upper limits (UL) on ($\\sigma\\times$  BR $\\times$ acceptance) for the LM4 and LM8 scenarios, in the different regions. The last column contains the predicted ($\\sigma \\times $BR$\\times$ acceptance) at NLO obtained from Monte Carlo simulation." << endl;
378 <  dout << "Scenario \t Efficiency [%] \t Upper limits [pb] \t Prediction [pb]" << endl;
378 >  dout << "Scenario \t Efficiency [%] \t Upper limits [pb] \t \\sigma [pb]" << endl;
379    for(int icut=0;icut<jzbcuts.size();icut++) {
380 <    dout << "Region with JZB>" << jzbcuts[icut] << endl;
380 >    dout << "Region with JZB>" << jzbcuts[icut] << (ConsiderSignalContaminationForLimits?"  (accounting for signal contamination)":"  (not accounting for signal contamination)") << endl;
381      for(int isample=0;isample<signalsamples.collection.size();isample++) {
382 <      dout << limits[icut][0] << "\t" << Round(100*uncertainties[isample*jzbcuts.size()+icut][1],1) << "+/-" << Round(100*uncertainties[isample*jzbcuts.size()+icut][2],1) << " (stat) +/- " << Round(100*uncertainties[isample*jzbcuts.size()+icut][3],1) << " (syst) \t" << Round((vlimits[isample][2*icut]),3) << "\t" << Round(vlimits[isample][2*icut+1],3) << endl;
382 >      dout << limits[isample][0] << "\t" << Round(100*uncertainties[isample*jzbcuts.size()+icut][1],3) << "+/-" << Round(100*uncertainties[isample*jzbcuts.size()+icut][2],3) << " (stat) +/- " << Round(100*uncertainties[isample*jzbcuts.size()+icut][3],3) << " (syst) \t" << Round((vlimits[isample][2*icut]),3) << "\t" << Round(vlimits[isample][2*icut+1],3) << endl;
383      }
384      dout << endl;
385    }
386 < }
386 >  allresults.Print();
387  
388 < void susy_scan_axis_labeling(TH2F *histo) {
301 <  histo->GetXaxis()->SetTitle("#Chi_{2}^{0}-LSP");
302 <  histo->GetXaxis()->CenterTitle();
303 <  histo->GetYaxis()->SetTitle("m_{#tilde{q}}");
304 <  histo->GetYaxis()->CenterTitle();
388 >  
389   }
390  
391 < void scan_susy_space(string mcjzb, string datajzb) {
392 <  TCanvas *c3 = new TCanvas("c3","c3");
393 <  vector<float> binning;
394 <  binning=allsamples.get_optimal_binsize(mcjzb,cutmass&&cutOSSF&&cutnJets,20,50,800);
395 <  float arrbinning[binning.size()];
396 <  for(int i=0;i<binning.size();i++) arrbinning[i]=binning[i];
397 <  TH1F *puredata   = allsamples.Draw("puredata",  datajzb,binning, "JZB [GeV]", "events", cutmass&&cutOSSF&&cutnJets,data,luminosity);
398 <  puredata->SetMarkerSize(DataMarkerSize);
399 <  TH1F *allbgs   = allsamples.Draw("allbgs",  "-"+datajzb,binning, "JZB [GeV]", "events", cutmass&&cutOSSF&&cutnJets,data,luminosity);
400 <  TH1F *allbgsb   = allsamples.Draw("allbgsb",  "-"+datajzb,binning, "JZB [GeV]", "events", cutmass&&cutOSOF&&cutnJets,data,luminosity);
401 <  TH1F *allbgsc   = allsamples.Draw("allbgsc",  datajzb,binning, "JZB [GeV]", "events", cutmass&&cutOSOF&&cutnJets,data,luminosity);
402 <  allbgs->Add(allbgsb,-1);
403 <  allbgs->Add(allbgsc);
404 <  int ndata=puredata->Integral();
405 <  ofstream myfile;
406 <  myfile.open ("susyscan_log.txt");
407 <  TFile *susyscanfile = new TFile("/scratch/fronga/SMS/T5z_SqSqToQZQZ_38xFall10.root");
408 <  TTree *suevents = (TTree*)susyscanfile->Get("events");
409 <  TH2F *exclusionmap = new TH2F("exclusionmap","",20,0,500,20,0,1000);
410 <  TH2F *exclusionmap1s = new TH2F("exclusionmap1s","",20,0,500,20,0,1000);
411 <  TH2F *exclusionmap2s = new TH2F("exclusionmap2s","",20,0,500,20,0,1000);
412 <  TH2F *exclusionmap3s = new TH2F("exclusionmap3s","",20,0,500,20,0,1000);
413 <  
414 <  susy_scan_axis_labeling(exclusionmap);
415 <  susy_scan_axis_labeling(exclusionmap1s);
416 <  susy_scan_axis_labeling(exclusionmap2s);
417 <  susy_scan_axis_labeling(exclusionmap3s);
418 <  
419 <  Int_t MyPalette[100];
420 <  Double_t r[]    = {0., 0.0, 1.0, 1.0, 1.0};
421 <  Double_t g[]    = {0., 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 1.0};
422 <  Double_t b[]    = {0., 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0};
423 <  Double_t stop[] = {0., .25, .50, .75, 1.0};
424 <  Int_t FI = TColor::CreateGradientColorTable(5, stop, r, g, b, 100);
425 <  for (int i=0;i<100;i++) MyPalette[i] = FI+i;
426 <  
427 <  gStyle->SetPalette(100, MyPalette);
428 <  
429 <  for(int m23=50;m23<500;m23+=25) {
430 <    for (int m0=(2*(m23-50)+150);m0<=1000;m0+=50)
431 <    {
432 <      c3->cd();
433 <      stringstream drawcondition;
434 <      drawcondition << "pfJetGoodNum>=3&&(TMath::Abs(masses[0]-"<<m0<<")<10&&TMath::Abs(masses[2]-masses[3]-"<<m23<<")<10)&&mll>5&&id1==id2";
435 <      TH1F *puresignal = new TH1F("puresignal","puresignal",binning.size()-1,arrbinning);
436 <      TH1F *puresignall= new TH1F("puresignall","puresignal",binning.size()-1,arrbinning);
437 <      stringstream drawvar,drawvar2;
438 <      drawvar<<mcjzb<<">>puresignal";
439 <      drawvar2<<"-"<<mcjzb<<">>puresignall";
440 <      suevents->Draw(drawvar.str().c_str(),drawcondition.str().c_str());
441 <      suevents->Draw(drawvar2.str().c_str(),drawcondition.str().c_str());
442 <      if(puresignal->Integral()<60) {
443 <        delete puresignal;
444 <        continue;
445 <      }
446 <      puresignal->Add(puresignall,-1);//we need to correct for the signal contamination - we effectively only see (JZB>0)-(JZB<0) !!
447 <      puresignal->Scale(ndata/(20*puresignal->Integral()));//normalizing it to 5% of the data
448 <      stringstream saveas;
449 <      saveas<<"Model_Scan/m0_"<<m0<<"__m23_"<<m23;
450 <      dout << "PLEASE KEEP IN MIND THAT SIGNAL CONTAMINATION IS NOT REALLY TAKEN CARE OF YET DUE TO LOW STATISTICS! SHOULD BE SOMETHING LIKE THIS : "<< endl;
451 < //        TH1F *signalpredlo   = allsamples.Draw("signalpredlo",  "-"+mcjzb,  binning, "JZB [GeV]", "events", cutmass&&cutOSOF&&cutnJets,mc,  luminosity,allsamples.FindSample("LM4"));
452 < //        TH1F *signalpredro   = allsamples.Draw("signalpredro",      mcjzb,  binning, "JZB [GeV]", "events", cutmass&&cutOSOF&&cutnJets,mc,  luminosity,allsamples.FindSample("LM4"));
453 < //        TH1F *puredata       = allsamples.Draw("puredata",          datajzb,binning, "JZB [GeV]", "events", cutmass&&cutOSSF&&cutnJets,data,luminosity);
454 < //        signalpred->Add(signalpredlo,-1);
455 < //        signalpred->Add(signalpredro);
456 < //        puresignal->Add(signalpred,-1);//subtracting signal contamination
457 < //---------------------
458 < //      dout << "(m0,m23)=("<<m0<<","<<m23<<") contains " << puresignal->Integral() << endl;
459 < //    TH1F *puresignal = allsamples.Draw("puresignal",mcjzb,  binning, "JZB [GeV]", "events", cutmass&&cutOSSF&&cutnJets,mc,  luminosity,allsamples.FindSample("LM4"));
460 <      vector<float> results=establish_upper_limits(puredata,allbgs,puresignal,saveas.str(),myfile);  
461 <      if(results.size()==0) {
462 <        delete puresignal;
463 <        continue;
464 <      }
465 <      exclusionmap->Fill(m23,m0,results[0]);
466 <      exclusionmap1s->Fill(m23,m0,results[1]);
467 <      exclusionmap2s->Fill(m23,m0,results[2]);
384 <      exclusionmap3s->Fill(m23,m0,results[3]);
385 <      delete puresignal;
386 <      dout << "(m0,m23)=("<<m0<<","<<m23<<") : 3 sigma at " << results[3] << endl;
387 <    }
388 <  }//end of model scan for loop
391 >
392 >
393 > /********************************************************************** new : Limits using SHAPES ***********************************
394 >
395 >
396 >   SSSSSSSSSSSSSSS hhhhhhh                                                                                      
397 > SS:::::::::::::::Sh:::::h                                                                                      
398 > S:::::SSSSSS::::::Sh:::::h                                                                                      
399 > S:::::S     SSSSSSSh:::::h                                                                                      
400 > S:::::S             h::::h hhhhh         aaaaaaaaaaaaa  ppppp   ppppppppp       eeeeeeeeeeee        ssssssssss  
401 > S:::::S             h::::hh:::::hhh      a::::::::::::a p::::ppp:::::::::p    ee::::::::::::ee    ss::::::::::s  
402 > S::::SSSS          h::::::::::::::hh    aaaaaaaaa:::::ap:::::::::::::::::p  e::::::eeeee:::::eess:::::::::::::s
403 >  SS::::::SSSSS     h:::::::hhh::::::h            a::::app::::::ppppp::::::pe::::::e     e:::::es::::::ssss:::::s
404 >    SSS::::::::SS   h::::::h   h::::::h    aaaaaaa:::::a p:::::p     p:::::pe:::::::eeeee::::::e s:::::s  ssssss
405 >       SSSSSS::::S  h:::::h     h:::::h  aa::::::::::::a p:::::p     p:::::pe:::::::::::::::::e    s::::::s      
406 >            S:::::S h:::::h     h:::::h a::::aaaa::::::a p:::::p     p:::::pe::::::eeeeeeeeeee        s::::::s  
407 >            S:::::S h:::::h     h:::::ha::::a    a:::::a p:::::p    p::::::pe:::::::e           ssssss   s:::::s
408 > SSSSSSS     S:::::S h:::::h     h:::::ha::::a    a:::::a p:::::ppppp:::::::pe::::::::e          s:::::ssss::::::s
409 > S::::::SSSSSS:::::S h:::::h     h:::::ha:::::aaaa::::::a p::::::::::::::::p  e::::::::eeeeeeee  s::::::::::::::s
410 > S:::::::::::::::SS  h:::::h     h:::::h a::::::::::aa:::ap::::::::::::::pp    ee:::::::::::::e   s:::::::::::ss  
411 > SSSSSSSSSSSSSSS    hhhhhhh     hhhhhhh  aaaaaaaaaa  aaaap::::::pppppppp        eeeeeeeeeeeeee    sssssssssss    
412 >                                                         p:::::p                                                
413 >                                                         p:::::p                                                
414 >                                                        p:::::::p                                                
415 >                                                        p:::::::p                                                
416 >                                                        p:::::::p                                                
417 >                                                        ppppppppp                                                
418 >                                                                                                                
419 >
420 > *********************************************************************** new : Limits using SHAPES ***********************************/
421 >
422 >
423 > void limit_shapes_for_systematic_effect(TFile *limfile, string identifier, string mcjzb, string datajzb, int JES,vector<float> binning, TCanvas *limcan) {
424 >  dout << "Creatig shape templates ... ";
425 >  if(identifier!="") dout << "for systematic called "<<identifier;
426 >  dout << endl;
427 >  int dataormc=mcwithsignal;//this is only for tests - for real life you want dataormc=data !!!
428 >  if(dataormc!=data) write_warning(__FUNCTION__,"WATCH OUT! Not using data for limits!!!! this is ok for tests, but not ok for anything official!");
429 >  
430 >  TCut limitnJetcut;
431 >  if(JES==noJES) limitnJetcut=cutnJets;
432 >  else {
433 >    if(JES==JESdown) limitnJetcut=cutnJetsJESdown;
434 >    if(JES==JESup) limitnJetcut=cutnJetsJESup;
435 >  }
436 >  TH1F *ZOSSFP = allsamples.Draw("ZOSSFP",datajzb,binning, "JZB4limits", "events",cutmass&&cutOSSF&&limitnJetcut&&basiccut,dataormc,luminosity);
437 >  TH1F *ZOSOFP = allsamples.Draw("ZOSOFP",datajzb,binning, "JZB4limits", "events",cutmass&&cutOSOF&&limitnJetcut&&basiccut,dataormc,luminosity);
438 >  TH1F *ZOSSFN = allsamples.Draw("ZOSSFN","-"+datajzb,binning, "JZB4limits", "events",cutmass&&cutOSSF&&limitnJetcut&&basiccut,dataormc,luminosity);
439 >  TH1F *ZOSOFN = allsamples.Draw("ZOSOFN","-"+datajzb,binning, "JZB4limits", "events",cutmass&&cutOSOF&&limitnJetcut&&basiccut,dataormc,luminosity);
440 >  
441 >  TH1F *SBOSSFP;
442 >  TH1F *SBOSOFP;
443 >  TH1F *SBOSSFN;
444 >  TH1F *SBOSOFN;
445 >  
446 >  TH1F *LZOSSFP = allsamples.Draw("LZOSSFP",mcjzb,binning, "JZB4limits", "events",cutmass&&cutOSSF&&limitnJetcut&&basiccut,mc,luminosity,allsamples.FindSample("LM4"));
447 >  TH1F *LZOSOFP = allsamples.Draw("LZOSOFP",mcjzb,binning, "JZB4limits", "events",cutmass&&cutOSOF&&limitnJetcut&&basiccut,mc,luminosity,allsamples.FindSample("LM4"));
448 >  TH1F *LZOSSFN = allsamples.Draw("LZOSSFN","-"+mcjzb,binning, "JZB4limits", "events",cutmass&&cutOSSF&&limitnJetcut&&basiccut,mc,luminosity,allsamples.FindSample("LM4"));
449 >  TH1F *LZOSOFN = allsamples.Draw("LZOSOFN","-"+mcjzb,binning, "JZB4limits", "events",cutmass&&cutOSOF&&limitnJetcut&&basiccut,mc,luminosity,allsamples.FindSample("LM4"));
450 >  
451 >  TH1F *LSBOSSFP;
452 >  TH1F *LSBOSOFP;
453 >  TH1F *LSBOSSFN;
454 >  TH1F *LSBOSOFN;
455 >  
456 >  flag_this_change(__FUNCTION__,__LINE__,false);//PlottingSetup::RestrictToMassPeak
457 >  if(PlottingSetup::RestrictToMassPeak) {
458 >      SBOSSFP = allsamples.Draw("SBOSSFP",datajzb,binning, "JZB4limits", "events",cutOSSF&&limitnJetcut&&basiccut&&sidebandcut,dataormc,luminosity);
459 >      SBOSOFP = allsamples.Draw("SBOSOFP",datajzb,binning, "JZB4limits", "events",cutOSOF&&limitnJetcut&&basiccut&&sidebandcut,dataormc,luminosity);
460 >      SBOSSFN = allsamples.Draw("SBOSSFN","-"+datajzb,binning, "JZB4limits", "events",cutOSSF&&limitnJetcut&&basiccut&&sidebandcut,dataormc,luminosity);
461 >      SBOSOFN = allsamples.Draw("SBOSOFN","-"+datajzb,binning, "JZB4limits", "events",cutOSOF&&limitnJetcut&&basiccut&&sidebandcut,dataormc,luminosity);
462 >      
463 >      LSBOSSFP = allsamples.Draw("LSBOSSFP",mcjzb,binning, "JZB4limits", "events",cutOSSF&&limitnJetcut&&basiccut&&sidebandcut,mc,luminosity,allsamples.FindSample("LM4"));
464 >      LSBOSOFP = allsamples.Draw("LSBOSOFP",mcjzb,binning, "JZB4limits", "events",cutOSOF&&limitnJetcut&&basiccut&&sidebandcut,mc,luminosity,allsamples.FindSample("LM4"));
465 >      LSBOSSFN = allsamples.Draw("LSBOSSFN","-"+mcjzb,binning, "JZB4limits", "events",cutOSSF&&limitnJetcut&&basiccut&&sidebandcut,mc,luminosity,allsamples.FindSample("LM4"));
466 >      LSBOSOFN = allsamples.Draw("LSBOSOFN","-"+mcjzb,binning, "JZB4limits", "events",cutOSOF&&limitnJetcut&&basiccut&&sidebandcut,mc,luminosity,allsamples.FindSample("LM4"));
467 >  }
468    
469 <  dout << "Exclusion Map contains" << exclusionmap->Integral() << " (integral) and entries: " << exclusionmap->GetEntries() << endl;
470 <  c3->cd();
471 <  exclusionmap->Draw("CONTZ");
472 <  CompleteSave(c3,"Model_Scan/CONT/Model_Scan_Mean_values");
473 <  exclusionmap->Draw("COLZ");
474 <  CompleteSave(c3,"Model_Scan/COL/Model_Scan_Mean_values");
475 <  
476 <  exclusionmap1s->Draw("CONTZ");
398 <  CompleteSave(c3,"Model_Scan/CONT/Model_Scan_1sigma_values");
399 <  exclusionmap1s->Draw("COLZ");
400 <  CompleteSave(c3,"Model_Scan/COL/Model_Scan_1sigma_values");
401 <  
402 <  exclusionmap2s->Draw("CONTZ");
403 <  CompleteSave(c3,"Model_Scan/CONT/Model_Scan_2sigma_values");
404 <  exclusionmap2s->Draw("COLZ");
405 <  CompleteSave(c3,"Model_Scan/COL/Model_Scan_2sigma_values");
406 <  
407 <  exclusionmap3s->Draw("CONTZ");
408 <  CompleteSave(c3,"Model_Scan/CONT/Model_Scan_3sigma_values");
409 <  exclusionmap3s->Draw("COLZ");
410 <  CompleteSave(c3,"Model_Scan/COL/Model_Scan_3sigma_values");
411 <  
412 <  TFile *exclusion_limits = new TFile("exclusion_limits.root","RECREATE");
413 <  exclusionmap->Write();
414 <  exclusionmap1s->Write();
415 <  exclusionmap2s->Write();
416 <  exclusionmap3s->Write();
417 <  exclusion_limits->Close();
418 <  susyscanfile->Close();
469 >  string obsname="data_obs";
470 >  string predname="background";
471 >  string signalname="signal";
472 >  if(identifier!="") {
473 >    obsname=("data_"+identifier);
474 >    predname=("background_"+identifier);
475 >    signalname="signal_"+identifier;
476 >  }
477    
478 <  myfile.close();
479 < }
478 >  TH1F *obs = (TH1F*)ZOSSFP->Clone("observation");
479 >  obs->SetName(obsname.c_str());
480 >  obs->Write();
481 >  TH1F *pred = (TH1F*)ZOSSFN->Clone("prediction");
482 >    flag_this_change(__FUNCTION__,__LINE__,false);//PlottingSetup::RestrictToMassPeak
483 >  if(PlottingSetup::RestrictToMassPeak) {
484 >    pred->Add(ZOSOFP,1.0/3);
485 >    pred->Add(ZOSOFN,-1.0/3);
486 >    pred->Add(SBOSSFP,1.0/3);
487 >    pred->Add(SBOSSFN,-1.0/3);
488 >    pred->Add(SBOSOFP,1.0/3);
489 >    pred->Add(SBOSOFN,-1.0/3);
490 >  } else {
491 >    pred->Add(ZOSOFP,1.0);
492 >    pred->Add(ZOSOFN,-1.0);
493 >  }
494 >    
495 >  pred->SetName(predname.c_str());
496 >  pred->Write();
497 >  
498 > //  TH1F *Lobs = (TH1F*)LZOSSFP->Clone();
499 > //  TH1F *Lpred = (TH1F*)LZOSSFN->Clone();
500 >  
501 >  TH1F *Lobs = new TH1F("Lobs","Lobs",binning.size()-1,&binning[0]);
502 >  TH1F *Lpred = new TH1F("Lpred","Lpred",binning.size()-1,&binning[0]);
503 >  Lobs->Add(LZOSSFP);
504 >  Lpred->Add(LZOSSFN);
505 >    flag_this_change(__FUNCTION__,__LINE__,false);//PlottingSetup::RestrictToMassPeak
506 >  if(PlottingSetup::RestrictToMassPeak) {
507 >    Lpred->Add(LZOSOFP,1.0/3);
508 >    Lpred->Add(LZOSOFN,-1.0/3);
509 >    Lpred->Add(LSBOSSFP,1.0/3);
510 >    Lpred->Add(LSBOSSFN,-1.0/3);
511 >    Lpred->Add(LSBOSOFP,1.0/3);
512 >    Lpred->Add(LSBOSOFN,-1.0/3);
513 >  } else {
514 >    Lpred->Add(LZOSOFP,1.0);
515 >    Lpred->Add(LZOSOFN,-1.0);
516 >  }
517  
518 +  TH1F *signal = (TH1F*)Lobs->Clone();
519 +  signal->Add(Lpred,-1);
520 +  signal->SetName(signalname.c_str());
521 +  signal->Write();
522 +  
523 +  delete Lobs;
524 +  delete Lpred;
525 +  
526 +  delete ZOSSFP;
527 +  delete ZOSOFP;
528 +  delete ZOSSFN;
529 +  delete ZOSOFN;
530 +  
531 +  if(PlottingSetup::RestrictToMassPeak) {
532 +    delete SBOSSFP;
533 +    delete SBOSOFP;
534 +    delete SBOSSFN;
535 +    delete SBOSOFN;
536 +  }
537 +  
538 +  delete LZOSSFP;
539 +  delete LZOSOFP;
540 +  delete LZOSSFN;
541 +  delete LZOSOFN;
542 +  
543 +  if(PlottingSetup::RestrictToMassPeak) {
544 +    delete LSBOSSFP;
545 +    delete LSBOSOFP;
546 +    delete LSBOSSFN;
547 +    delete LSBOSOFN;
548 +  }
549  
550 + }
551  
552 + void prepare_datacard(TFile *f) {
553 + TH1F *dataob = (TH1F*)f->Get("data_obs");
554 + TH1F *signal = (TH1F*)f->Get("signal");
555 + TH1F *background = (TH1F*)f->Get("background");
556  
557 + ofstream datacard;
558 + ensure_directory_exists(get_directory()+"/limits");
559 + datacard.open ((get_directory()+"/limits/susydatacard.txt").c_str());
560 + datacard << "Writing this to a file.\n";
561 + datacard << "imax 1\n";
562 + datacard << "jmax 1\n";
563 + datacard << "kmax *\n";
564 + datacard << "---------------\n";
565 + datacard << "shapes * * limitfile.root $PROCESS $PROCESS_$SYSTEMATIC\n";
566 + datacard << "---------------\n";
567 + datacard << "bin 1\n";
568 + datacard << "observation "<<dataob->Integral()<<"\n";
569 + datacard << "------------------------------\n";
570 + datacard << "bin             1          1\n";
571 + datacard << "process         signal     background\n";
572 + datacard << "process         0          1\n";
573 + datacard << "rate            "<<signal->Integral()<<"         "<<background->Integral()<<"\n";
574 + datacard << "--------------------------------\n";
575 + datacard << "lumi     lnN    1.10       1.0\n";
576 + datacard << "bgnorm   lnN    1.00       1.4  uncertainty on our prediction (40%)\n";
577 + datacard << "JES    shape    1          1    uncertainty on background shape and normalization\n";
578 + datacard << "peak   shape    1          1    uncertainty on signal resolution. Assume the histogram is a 2 sigma shift, \n";
579 + datacard << "#                                so divide the unit gaussian by 2 before doing the interpolation\n";
580 + datacard.close();
581 + }
582 +
583 +
584 + void prepare_limits(string mcjzb, string datajzb, float jzbpeakerrordata, float jzbpeakerrormc, vector<float> jzbbins) {
585 +  ensure_directory_exists(get_directory()+"/limits");
586 +  TFile *limfile = new TFile((get_directory()+"/limits/limitfile.root").c_str(),"RECREATE");
587 +  TCanvas *limcan = new TCanvas("limcan","Canvas for calculating limits");
588 +  limit_shapes_for_systematic_effect(limfile,"",mcjzb,datajzb,noJES,jzbbins,limcan);
589 +  limit_shapes_for_systematic_effect(limfile,"peakUp",newjzbexpression(mcjzb,jzbpeakerrormc),newjzbexpression(datajzb,jzbpeakerrordata),noJES,jzbbins,limcan);
590 +  limit_shapes_for_systematic_effect(limfile,"peakDown",newjzbexpression(mcjzb,-jzbpeakerrormc),newjzbexpression(datajzb,-jzbpeakerrordata),noJES,jzbbins,limcan);
591 +  limit_shapes_for_systematic_effect(limfile,"JESUp",mcjzb,datajzb,JESup,jzbbins,limcan);
592 +  limit_shapes_for_systematic_effect(limfile,"JESDown",mcjzb,datajzb,JESdown,jzbbins,limcan);
593 +  
594 +  prepare_datacard(limfile);
595 +  limfile->Close();
596 +  write_info("prepare_limits","limitfile.root and datacard.txt have been generated. You can now use them to calculate limits!");
597 +  
598 + }

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