1 |
\section{Data Driven Background Estimation Methods}
|
2 |
\label{sec:datadriven}
|
3 |
We have developed two data-driven methods to
|
4 |
estimate the background in the signal region.
|
5 |
The first one exploits the fact that
|
6 |
SumJetPt and \met$/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$ are nearly
|
7 |
uncorrelated for the $t\bar{t}$ background
|
8 |
(Section~\ref{sec:abcd}); the second one
|
9 |
is based on the fact that in $t\bar{t}$ the
|
10 |
$P_T$ of the dilepton pair is on average
|
11 |
nearly the same as the $P_T$ of the pair of neutrinos
|
12 |
from $W$-decays, which is reconstructed as \met in the
|
13 |
detector.
|
14 |
|
15 |
|
16 |
%{\color{red} I took these
|
17 |
%numbers from the twiki, rescaling from 11.06 to 30/pb.
|
18 |
%They seem too large...are they really right?}
|
19 |
|
20 |
|
21 |
\subsection{ABCD method}
|
22 |
\label{sec:abcd}
|
23 |
|
24 |
We find that in $t\bar{t}$ events SumJetPt and
|
25 |
\met$/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$ are nearly uncorrelated,
|
26 |
as demonstrated in Fig.~\ref{fig:uncor}.
|
27 |
Thus, we can use an ABCD method in the \met$/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$ vs
|
28 |
sumJetPt plane to estimate the background in a data driven way.
|
29 |
|
30 |
%\begin{figure}[bht]
|
31 |
%\begin{center}
|
32 |
%\includegraphics[width=0.75\linewidth]{uncorrelated.pdf}
|
33 |
%\caption{\label{fig:uncor}\protect Distributions of SumJetPt
|
34 |
%in MC $t\bar{t}$ events for different intervals of
|
35 |
%MET$/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$.}
|
36 |
%\end{center}
|
37 |
%\end{figure}
|
38 |
|
39 |
\begin{figure}[bht]
|
40 |
\begin{center}
|
41 |
\includegraphics[width=0.75\linewidth]{uncor.png}
|
42 |
\caption{\label{fig:uncor}\protect Distributions of SumJetPt
|
43 |
in MC $t\bar{t}$ events for different intervals of
|
44 |
MET$/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$. h1, h2, and h3 refer to the MET$/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$
|
45 |
intervals 4.5-6.5, 6.5-8.5 and $>$8.5, respectively. }
|
46 |
\end{center}
|
47 |
\end{figure}
|
48 |
|
49 |
\begin{figure}[tb]
|
50 |
\begin{center}
|
51 |
\includegraphics[width=0.75\linewidth]{ttdil_uncor_38X.png}
|
52 |
\caption{\label{fig:abcdMC}\protect Distributions of MET$/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$ vs.
|
53 |
SumJetPt for SM Monte Carlo. Here we also show our choice of ABCD regions. The correlation coefficient
|
54 |
${\rm corr_{XY}}$ is computed for events falling in the ABCD regions.}
|
55 |
\end{center}
|
56 |
\end{figure}
|
57 |
|
58 |
|
59 |
Our choice of ABCD regions is shown in Figure~\ref{fig:abcdMC}.
|
60 |
The signal region is region D. The expected number of events
|
61 |
in the four regions for the SM Monte Carlo, as well as the background
|
62 |
prediction A $\times$ C / B are given in Table~\ref{tab:abcdMC} for an integrated
|
63 |
luminosity of 34.0 pb$^{-1}$. In Table~\ref{tab:abcdsyst}, we test the stability of
|
64 |
observed/predicted with respect to variations in the ABCD boundaries.
|
65 |
Based on the results in Tables~\ref{tab:abcdMC} and~\ref{tab:abcdsyst}, we assess
|
66 |
a systematic uncertainty of 20\% on the prediction of the ABCD method.
|
67 |
|
68 |
%As shown in Table~\ref{tab:abcdsyst}, we assess systematic uncertainties
|
69 |
%by varying the boundaries by an amount consistent with the hadronic energy scale uncertainty,
|
70 |
%which we take as $\pm$5\% for SumJetPt and $\pm$2.5\% for MET/$\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$, since the
|
71 |
%uncertainty on this quantity partially cancels due to the fact that it is a ratio of correlated
|
72 |
%quantities. Based on these studies we assess a correction factor $k_{ABCD} = 1.2 \pm 0.2$ to the
|
73 |
%predicted yield using the ABCD method.
|
74 |
|
75 |
|
76 |
%{\color{red} Avi wants some statement about stability
|
77 |
%wrt changes in regions. I am not sure that we have done it and
|
78 |
%I am not sure it is necessary (Claudio).}
|
79 |
|
80 |
\begin{table}[ht]
|
81 |
\begin{center}
|
82 |
\caption{\label{tab:abcdMC} Expected SM Monte Carlo yields for
|
83 |
34.0~pb$^{-1}$ in the ABCD regions, as well as the predicted yield in
|
84 |
the signal region given by A $\times$ C / B. Here `SM other' is the sum
|
85 |
of non-dileptonic $t\bar{t}$ decays, $W^{\pm}$+jets, $W^+W^-$,
|
86 |
$W^{\pm}Z^0$, $Z^0Z^0$ and single top.}
|
87 |
\begin{tabular}{lccccc}
|
88 |
%%%official json v3, 38X MC (D6T ttbar and DY)
|
89 |
\hline
|
90 |
sample & A & B & C & D & PRED \\
|
91 |
\hline
|
92 |
$t\bar{t}\rightarrow \ell^{+}\ell^{-}$ & 8.44 $\pm$ 0.18 & 32.83 $\pm$ 0.35 & 4.78 $\pm$ 0.14 & 1.07 $\pm$ 0.06 & 1.23 $\pm$ 0.05 \\
|
93 |
$Z^0 \rightarrow \ell^{+}\ell^{-}$ & 0.17 $\pm$ 0.08 & 1.18 $\pm$ 0.22 & 0.04 $\pm$ 0.04 & 0.12 $\pm$ 0.07 & 0.01 $\pm$ 0.01 \\
|
94 |
SM other & 0.53 $\pm$ 0.03 & 2.26 $\pm$ 0.11 & 0.23 $\pm$ 0.03 & 0.07 $\pm$ 0.01 & 0.05 $\pm$ 0.01 \\
|
95 |
\hline
|
96 |
total SM MC & 9.14 $\pm$ 0.20 & 36.26 $\pm$ 0.43 & 5.05 $\pm$ 0.14 & 1.27 $\pm$ 0.10 & 1.27 $\pm$ 0.05 \\
|
97 |
\hline
|
98 |
\end{tabular}
|
99 |
\end{center}
|
100 |
\end{table}
|
101 |
|
102 |
|
103 |
|
104 |
\begin{table}[ht]
|
105 |
\begin{center}
|
106 |
\caption{\label{tab:abcdsyst}
|
107 |
Results of the systematic study of the ABCD method by varying the boundaries
|
108 |
between the ABCD regions shown in Fig.~\ref{fig:abcdMC}. Here $x_1$ is the lower SumJetPt boundary and
|
109 |
$x_2$ is the boundary separating regions A and B from C and D, their nominal values are 125 and 300~GeV,
|
110 |
respectively. $y_1$ is the lower MET/$\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$ boundary and
|
111 |
$y_2$ is the boundary separating regions B and C from A and D, their nominal values are 4.5 and 8.5~GeV$^{1/2}$,
|
112 |
respectively.}
|
113 |
\begin{tabular}{cccc|c}
|
114 |
\hline
|
115 |
$x_1$ & $x_2$ & $y_1$ & $y_2$ & Observed/Predicted \\
|
116 |
\hline
|
117 |
|
118 |
nominal & nominal & nominal & nominal & $1.00 \pm 0.08$ \\
|
119 |
|
120 |
+5\% & +5\% & +2.5\% & +2.5\% & $1.08 \pm 0.11$ \\
|
121 |
|
122 |
+5\% & +5\% & nominal & nominal & $1.04 \pm 0.10$ \\
|
123 |
|
124 |
nominal & nominal & +2.5\% & +2.5\% & $1.03 \pm 0.09$ \\
|
125 |
|
126 |
nominal & +5\% & nominal & +2.5\% & $1.05 \pm 0.10$ \\
|
127 |
|
128 |
nominal & -5\% & nominal & -2.5\% & $0.95 \pm 0.07$ \\
|
129 |
|
130 |
-5\% & -5\% & +2.5\% & +2.5\% & $1.00 \pm 0.08$ \\
|
131 |
|
132 |
+5\% & +5\% & -2.5\% & -2.5\% & $0.98 \pm 0.09$ \\
|
133 |
\hline
|
134 |
\end{tabular}
|
135 |
\end{center}
|
136 |
\end{table}
|
137 |
|
138 |
|
139 |
\clearpage
|
140 |
|
141 |
\subsection{Dilepton $P_T$ method}
|
142 |
\label{sec:victory}
|
143 |
This method is based on a suggestion by V. Pavlunin\cite{ref:victory},
|
144 |
and was investigated by our group in 2009\cite{ref:ourvictory}.
|
145 |
The idea is that in dilepton $t\bar{t}$ events the lepton and neutrinos
|
146 |
from $W$ decays have the same $P_T$ spectrum (modulo $W$ polarization
|
147 |
effects). One can then use the observed
|
148 |
$P_T(\ell\ell)$ distribution to model the sum of neutrino $P_T$'s which
|
149 |
is identified with the \met.
|
150 |
|
151 |
Then, in order to predict the $t\bar{t} \to$ dilepton contribution to a
|
152 |
selection with \met$+$X, one applies a cut on $P_T(\ell\ell)+$X instead.
|
153 |
In practice one has to rescale the result of the $P_T(\ell\ell)+$X selection
|
154 |
to account for the fact that any dilepton selection must include a
|
155 |
moderate \met cut in order to reduce Drell Yan backgrounds. This
|
156 |
is discussed in Section 5.3 of Reference~\cite{ref:ourvictory}; for a \met
|
157 |
cut of 50 GeV, the rescaling factor is obtained from the MC as
|
158 |
|
159 |
\newcommand{\ptll} {\ensuremath{P_T(\ell\ell)}}
|
160 |
\begin{center}
|
161 |
$ K = \frac{\int_0^{\infty} {\cal N}(\ptll)~~d\ptll~}{\int_{50}^{\infty} {\cal N}(\ptll)~~d\ptll~} = 1.5$
|
162 |
\end{center}
|
163 |
|
164 |
|
165 |
%%%TO BE REPLACED
|
166 |
%Given the integrated luminosity of the
|
167 |
%present dataset, the determination of $K$ in data is severely statistics
|
168 |
%limited. Thus, we take $K$ from $t\bar{t}$ Monte Carlo as
|
169 |
|
170 |
%\begin{center}
|
171 |
%$ K_{MC} = \frac{\int_0^{\infty} {\cal N}(\met)~~d\met~}{\int_{50}^{\infty} {\cal N}(\met)~~d\met~}$
|
172 |
%\end{center}
|
173 |
|
174 |
%\noindent {\color{red} For the 11 pb result we have used $K$ from data.}
|
175 |
|
176 |
|
177 |
\begin{figure}[bht]
|
178 |
\begin{center}
|
179 |
\includegraphics[width=0.75\linewidth]{genvictory_Dec13.png}
|
180 |
\caption{\label{fig:genvictory}\protect Distributions $P_T(\ell \ell)$
|
181 |
and $P_T(\nu \nu)$ (aka {\it genmet})
|
182 |
in $t\bar{t} \to$ dilepton Monte Carlo at the
|
183 |
generator level. Events with $W \to \tau \to \ell$ are not included.
|
184 |
No kinematical requirements have been made.}
|
185 |
\end{center}
|
186 |
\end{figure}
|
187 |
|
188 |
|
189 |
There are several effects that spoil the correspondance between \met and
|
190 |
$P_T(\ell\ell)$:
|
191 |
\begin{itemize}
|
192 |
\item $Ws$ in top events are polarized. Neutrinos are emitted preferentially
|
193 |
parallel to the $W$ velocity while charged leptons are emitted prefertially
|
194 |
anti-parallel. Thus the $P_T(\nu\nu)$ distribution is harder
|
195 |
than the $P_T(\ell\ell)$ distribution for top dilepton events.
|
196 |
This turns out to be the dominant effect and it is illustrated in
|
197 |
Figure~\ref{fig:genvictory}.
|
198 |
\item The lepton selections results in $P_T$ and $\eta$ cuts on the individual
|
199 |
leptons that have no simple correspondance to the neutrino requirements.
|
200 |
\item Similarly, the \met$>$50 GeV cut introduces an asymmetry between leptons and
|
201 |
neutrinos which is only partially compensated by the $K$ factor above.
|
202 |
\item The \met resolution is much worse than the dilepton $P_T$ resolution.
|
203 |
When convoluted with a falling spectrum in the tails of \met, this results
|
204 |
in a harder spectrum for \met than the original $P_T(\nu\nu)$.
|
205 |
\item The \met response in CMS is not exactly 1. This causes a distortion
|
206 |
in the \met distribution that is not present in the $P_T(\ell\ell)$ distribution.
|
207 |
\item The $t\bar{t} \to$ dilepton signal includes contributions from
|
208 |
$W \to \tau \to \ell$. For these events the arguments about the equivalence
|
209 |
of $P_T(\ell\ell)$ and $P_T(\nu\nu)$ do not apply.
|
210 |
\item A dilepton selection will include SM events from non $t\bar{t}$
|
211 |
sources. These events can affect the background prediction. Particularly
|
212 |
dangerous are high $P_T$ Drell Yan events that barely pass the \met$>$ 50
|
213 |
GeV selection. They will tend to push the data-driven background prediction up.
|
214 |
Therefore we estimate the number of DY events entering the background prediction
|
215 |
using the $R_{out/in}$ method as described in Sec.~\ref{sec:othBG}.
|
216 |
\end{itemize}
|
217 |
|
218 |
We have studied these effects in SM Monte Carlo, using a mixture of generator and
|
219 |
reconstruction level studies, putting the various effects in one at a time.
|
220 |
For each configuration, we apply the data-driven method and report as figure
|
221 |
of merit the ratio of observed and predicted events in the signal region.
|
222 |
The figure of merit is calculated as follows
|
223 |
\begin{itemize}
|
224 |
\item We construct \met/$\sqrt{{\rm sumJetPt}}$
|
225 |
and $P_T(\ell \ell)/\sqrt{{\rm sumJetPt}}$ (rescaled by the factor $K$ defined
|
226 |
above) distributions.
|
227 |
\item The distributions are constructed using either
|
228 |
GEN or RECO, and including or excluding various effects ({\em e.g.:}
|
229 |
$t \to W \to \tau \to \ell$).
|
230 |
\item In all cases the $N_{jets} \ge 2$ and
|
231 |
sumJetPt $>$ 300 GeV requirements are applied.
|
232 |
\item ``observed events'' is the integral of the \met/$\sqrt{{\rm sumJetPt}}$ distribution
|
233 |
above 8.5.
|
234 |
\item ``predicted events'' is the integral of the $P_T(\ell \ell)/\sqrt{{\rm sumJetPt}}$ distribution
|
235 |
above 8.5.
|
236 |
\end{itemize}
|
237 |
The results are summarized in Table~\ref{tab:victorybad}. Distributions corresponding to
|
238 |
lines 4 and 5 of Table~\ref{tab:victorybad} are shown in Figure~\ref{fig:victorybad}.
|
239 |
|
240 |
\begin{table}[htb]
|
241 |
\begin{center}
|
242 |
\caption{\label{tab:victorybad}
|
243 |
Test of the data driven method in Monte Carlo
|
244 |
under different assumptions, evaluated using Spring10 MC. See text for details.}
|
245 |
\begin{tabular}{|l|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|}
|
246 |
\hline
|
247 |
& True $t\bar{t}$ dilepton & $t\to W\to\tau$& other SM & GEN or & Lepton $P_T$ & Z veto & \met $>$ 50& obs/pred \\
|
248 |
& included & included & included & RECOSIM & and $\eta$ cuts & & & \\ \hline
|
249 |
1&Y & N & N & GEN & N & N & N & 1.90 \\
|
250 |
2&Y & N & N & GEN & Y & N & N & 1.64 \\
|
251 |
3&Y & N & N & GEN & Y & Y & N & 1.59 \\
|
252 |
4&Y & N & N & GEN & Y & Y & Y & 1.55 \\
|
253 |
5&Y & N & N & RECOSIM & Y & Y & Y & 1.51 \\
|
254 |
6&Y & Y & N & RECOSIM & Y & Y & Y & 1.58 \\
|
255 |
7&Y & Y & Y & RECOSIM & Y & Y & Y & 1.38 \\
|
256 |
\hline
|
257 |
\end{tabular}
|
258 |
\end{center}
|
259 |
\end{table}
|
260 |
|
261 |
|
262 |
\begin{figure}[bht]
|
263 |
\begin{center}
|
264 |
\includegraphics[width=0.48\linewidth]{genvictory_sqrtHt_Dec13.png}
|
265 |
\includegraphics[width=0.48\linewidth]{victory_Dec13.png}
|
266 |
\caption{\label{fig:victorybad}\protect Distributions
|
267 |
of MET/$\sqrt{{\rm sumJetPt}}$ (black) and $P_T(\ell \ell)/\sqrt{{\rm sumJetPt}}$
|
268 |
(red) in $t\bar{t} \to$ dilepton Monte Carlo
|
269 |
after lepton kinematical cuts, $N_{jets} \ge 2$, and
|
270 |
sumJetPt $>$ 300 GeV. The left (right) plot is at the GEN (RECO) level
|
271 |
and corresponds to line 4 (5) of Table~\ref{tab:victorybad}.}
|
272 |
\end{center}
|
273 |
\end{figure}
|
274 |
|
275 |
|
276 |
|
277 |
\begin{table}[htb]
|
278 |
\begin{center}
|
279 |
\caption{\label{tab:victorysyst}
|
280 |
Summary of variations in $K_C$ due to the MET scale and resolution uncertainty, and to backgrounds other than $t\bar{t} \to$~dilepton.
|
281 |
In the first table, `up' and `down' refer to shifting the hadronic energy scale up and down by 5\%. In the second table, the quoted value
|
282 |
refers to the amount of additional smearing of the MET, as discussed in the text. In the third table, the normalization of all backgrounds
|
283 |
other than $t\bar{t} \to$~dilepton is varied. }
|
284 |
\begin{tabular}{ lcccc }
|
285 |
\hline
|
286 |
MET scale & Predicted & Observed & Obs/pred \\
|
287 |
\hline
|
288 |
nominal & 0.92 $ \pm $ 0.09 & 1.27 $ \pm $ 0.10 & 1.39 $ \pm $ 0.18 \\
|
289 |
up & 0.90 $ \pm $ 0.09 & 1.58 $ \pm $ 0.10 & 1.75 $ \pm $ 0.21 \\
|
290 |
down & 0.70 $ \pm $ 0.06 & 0.96 $ \pm $ 0.09 & 1.37 $ \pm $ 0.18 \\
|
291 |
\hline
|
292 |
MET smearing & Predicted & Observed & Obs/pred \\
|
293 |
\hline
|
294 |
nominal & 0.92 $ \pm $ 0.09 & 1.27 $ \pm $ 0.10 & 1.39 $ \pm $ 0.18 \\
|
295 |
10\% & 0.88 $ \pm $ 0.09 & 1.28 $ \pm $ 0.10 & 1.47 $ \pm $ 0.19 \\
|
296 |
20\% & 0.87 $ \pm $ 0.09 & 1.26 $ \pm $ 0.10 & 1.44 $ \pm $ 0.19 \\
|
297 |
30\% & 1.03 $ \pm $ 0.17 & 1.33 $ \pm $ 0.10 & 1.29 $ \pm $ 0.23 \\
|
298 |
40\% & 0.88 $ \pm $ 0.09 & 1.36 $ \pm $ 0.10 & 1.55 $ \pm $ 0.20 \\
|
299 |
50\% & 0.80 $ \pm $ 0.07 & 1.39 $ \pm $ 0.10 & 1.73 $ \pm $ 0.19 \\
|
300 |
\hline
|
301 |
non-$t\bar{t} \to$~dilepton bkg & Predicted & Observed & Obs/pred \\
|
302 |
\hline
|
303 |
ttdil only & 0.79 $ \pm $ 0.07 & 1.07 $ \pm $ 0.06 & 1.36 $ \pm $ 0.14 \\
|
304 |
nominal & 0.92 $ \pm $ 0.09 & 1.27 $ \pm $ 0.10 & 1.39 $ \pm $ 0.18 \\
|
305 |
double non-ttdil yield & 1.04 $ \pm $ 0.15 & 1.47 $ \pm $ 0.16 & 1.40 $ \pm $ 0.25 \\
|
306 |
\hline
|
307 |
\end{tabular}
|
308 |
\end{center}
|
309 |
\end{table}
|
310 |
|
311 |
The largest discrepancy between prediction and observation occurs on the first
|
312 |
line of Table~\ref{tab:victorybad}, {\em i.e.}, at the generator level with no
|
313 |
cuts. We have verified that this effect is due to the polarization of
|
314 |
the $W$ (we remove the polarization by reweighting the events and we get
|
315 |
good agreement between prediction and observation). The kinematical
|
316 |
requirements (lines 2,3,4) compensate somewhat for the effect of W polarization.
|
317 |
Going from GEN to RECOSIM, the change in observed/predicted is small.
|
318 |
% We have tracked this down to the fact that tcMET underestimates the true \met
|
319 |
% by $\approx 4\%$\footnote{We find that observed/predicted changes by roughly 0.1
|
320 |
%for each 1.5\% change in \met response.}.
|
321 |
Finally, contamination from non $t\bar{t}$
|
322 |
events can have a significant impact on the BG prediction.
|
323 |
%The changes between
|
324 |
%lines 6 and 7 of Table~\ref{tab:victorybad} is driven by 3
|
325 |
%Drell Yan events that pass the \met selection in Monte Carlo (thus the effect
|
326 |
%is statistically not well quantified).
|
327 |
|
328 |
An additional source of concern is that the CMS Madgraph $t\bar{t}$ MC does
|
329 |
not include effects of spin correlations between the two top quarks.
|
330 |
We have studied this effect at the generator level using Alpgen. We find
|
331 |
that the bias is (at most) at the few percent level.
|
332 |
|
333 |
Based on the results of Table~\ref{tab:victorysyst}, we conclude that the
|
334 |
naive data-driven background estimate based on $P_T{(\ell\ell)}$ needs to
|
335 |
be corrected by a factor of $ K_C = 1.4 \pm 0.2({\rm stat})$.
|
336 |
|
337 |
The dominant sources of systematic uncertainty in $K_C$ are due to non-$t\bar{t} \to$~dilepton backgrounds,
|
338 |
and the MET scale and resolution uncertainties, as summarized in Table~\ref{tab:victorysyst}.
|
339 |
The impact of non-$t\bar{t}$-dilepton background is assessed
|
340 |
by varying the yield of all backgrounds except for $t\bar{t} \to$~dilepton.
|
341 |
The uncertainty is assessed as the larger of the differences between the nominal $K_C$ value and the values
|
342 |
obtained using only $t\bar{t} \to$~dilepton MC and obtained by doubling the non $t\bar{t} \to$~dilepton component,
|
343 |
giving an uncertainty of $0.03$.
|
344 |
|
345 |
The uncertainty in $K_C$ due to the MET scale uncertainty is assessed by varying the hadronic energy scale using
|
346 |
the same method as in~\cite{ref:top}, giving an uncertainty of 0.36.
|
347 |
We also assess the impact of the MET resolution
|
348 |
uncertainty on $K_C$ by applying a random smearing to the MET. For each event, we determine the expected MET resolution
|
349 |
based on the sumJetPt, and smear the MET to simulate an increase in the resolution of 10\%, 20\%, 30\%, 40\% and 50\%.
|
350 |
The results show that $K_C$ does not depend strongly on the MET resolution and we therefore do not assess any uncertainty.
|
351 |
|
352 |
Incorporating all the statistical and systematic uncertainties we find $K_C = 1.4 \pm 0.4$.
|
353 |
|
354 |
\subsection{Signal Contamination}
|
355 |
\label{sec:sigcont}
|
356 |
|
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All data-driven methods are in principle subject to signal contaminations
|
358 |
in the control regions, and the methods described in
|
359 |
Sections~\ref{sec:abcd} and~\ref{sec:victory} are not exceptions.
|
360 |
Signal contamination tends to dilute the significance of a signal
|
361 |
present in the data by inflating the background prediction.
|
362 |
|
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It is hard to quantify how important these effects are because we
|
364 |
do not know what signal may be hiding in the data. Having two
|
365 |
independent methods (in addition to Monte Carlo ``dead-reckoning'')
|
366 |
adds redundancy because signal contamination can have different effects
|
367 |
in the different control regions for the two methods.
|
368 |
For example, in the extreme case of a
|
369 |
new physics signal
|
370 |
with $P_T(\ell \ell) = \met$, an excess of events would be seen
|
371 |
in the ABCD method but not in the $P_T(\ell \ell)$ method.
|
372 |
|
373 |
|
374 |
The LM points are benchmarks for SUSY analyses at CMS. The effects
|
375 |
of signal contaminations for a couple such points are summarized
|
376 |
in Table~\ref{tab:sigcont}. Signal contamination is definitely an important
|
377 |
effect for these two LM points, but it does not totally hide the
|
378 |
presence of the signal.
|
379 |
|
380 |
|
381 |
\begin{table}[htb]
|
382 |
\begin{center}
|
383 |
\caption{\label{tab:sigcont} Effects of signal contamination
|
384 |
for the two data-driven background estimates. The three columns give
|
385 |
the expected yield in the signal region and the background estimates
|
386 |
using the ABCD and $P_T(\ell \ell)$ methods. Results are normalized to 34.0~pb$^{-1}$.}
|
387 |
\begin{tabular}{lccc}
|
388 |
\hline
|
389 |
& Yield & ABCD & $P_T(\ell \ell)$ \\
|
390 |
\hline
|
391 |
SM only & 1.3 & 1.3 & 0.9 \\
|
392 |
SM + LM0 & 7.4 & 4.4 & 1.9 \\
|
393 |
SM + LM1 & 3.8 & 1.6 & 1.4 \\
|
394 |
%SM only & 1.27 & 1.27 & 0.92 \\
|
395 |
%SM + LM0 & 7.39 & 4.38 & 1.93 \\
|
396 |
%SM + LM1 & 3.77 & 1.62 & 1.41 \\
|
397 |
\hline
|
398 |
\end{tabular}
|
399 |
\end{center}
|
400 |
\end{table}
|
401 |
|