| 22 |
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These three predictions are in good agreement with each other |
| 23 |
|
and with the observation of one event in the signal region. |
| 24 |
|
We calculate a Bayesian 95\% CL upper limit\cite{ref:bayes.f} |
| 25 |
< |
on the number of non SM events in the signal region to be X. |
| 26 |
< |
This was calculated using a background prediction of $N_{BG}=X \pm Y$ |
| 27 |
< |
{\bf \color{red} WHAT TO TAKE FOR $N_{BG}$???.} |
| 25 |
> |
on the number of non SM events in the signal region to be 4.1. |
| 26 |
> |
This was calculated using a background prediction of $N_{BG}=1.7 \pm 1.1$ |
| 27 |
|
events. The upper limit is not very sensitive to the choice of |
| 28 |
|
$N_{BG}$ and its uncertainty. |
| 29 |
|
|
| 30 |
|
To get a feeling for the sensitivity of this search to some |
| 31 |
|
popular SUSY models, we remind the reader of the number of expected |
| 32 |
|
LM0 and LM1 events from Table~\ref{tab:sigcont}: $6.3 \pm 1.3$ |
| 33 |
< |
events and $2.6 \pm 0.4$ ({\bf \color{red} Update uncertainties}) |
| 33 |
> |
events and $2.6 \pm 0.4$ |
| 34 |
|
respectively, where the uncertainties |
| 35 |
|
are from energy scale (Section~\ref{sec:systematics}), luminosity, |
| 36 |
|
and lepton efficiency. Note that these expected SUSY yields |
| 41 |
|
in this note is a difficult issue. The next paragraph represent |
| 42 |
|
our attempt at doing so. |
| 43 |
|
|
| 45 |
– |
{\bf \color{red} Some of these results may need to be updated with 38X systematic studies} |
| 44 |
|
Other models of new physics in the dilepton final state |
| 45 |
|
can be confronted in an approximate way by simple |
| 46 |
|
generator-level studies that |
| 48 |
|
with our upper limit of 4.1 events. The key ingredients |
| 49 |
|
of such studies are the kinematical cuts described |
| 50 |
|
in this note, the lepton efficiencies, and the detector |
| 51 |
< |
responses for SumJetPt and \met/$\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$. |
| 51 |
> |
responses for SumJetPt and \met/$\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$~\footnote{Please note |
| 52 |
> |
that the following quantities have been evaluated with Spring10 MC samples.}. |
| 53 |
|
The muon identification efficiency is $\approx 95\%$; |
| 54 |
|
the electron identification efficiency varies from $\approx$ 63\% at |
| 55 |
|
$P_T = 10$ GeV to 91\% for $P_T > 30$ GeV. The isolation |
