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mSUGRA parameter space, |
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assuming $\tan\beta=3$, sign of $\mu = +$ and $A_{0}=0$~GeVs |
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using different models for the nuisance parameters. |
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PDF UNCERTAINTOES ARE NOT INCLUDED.} |
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PDF UNCERTAINTIES ARE NOT INCLUDED.} |
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\end{center} |
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\end{figure} |
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|
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We find that the set of excluded points is identical for the |
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lognormal and gamma models. There are small differences for the |
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gaussian model. Following the recommendation of Reference~\cite{ref:cousins}, |
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we use the lognormal nuisance parameter model. |
234 |
> |
We find that different assumptions on the PDFs for the nuisance |
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> |
parameters make very small differences to the set of excluded |
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> |
points. |
237 |
> |
Following the recommendation of Reference~\cite{ref:cousins}, |
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> |
we use the lognormal nuisance parameter model as the default. |
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|
|
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|
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|
\clearpage |
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|
|
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\subsubsection{Effect of signal contamination} |
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\label{sec:contlimit} |
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+ |
|
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Signal contamination could affect the limit by inflating the |
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|
background expectation. In our case we see no evidence of signal |
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contamination, within statistics. |
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|
|
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|
Nevertheless, here we explore the possible effect of |
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|
signal contamination. The procedure suggested to us |
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< |
is the following: |
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< |
\begin{itemize} |
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< |
\item At each point in mSUGRA space we modify the |
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> |
for the ABCD method is to modify the |
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|
ABCD background prediction from $A_D \cdot C_D/B_D$ to |
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|
$(A_D-A_S) \cdot (C_D-C_S) / (B_D - B_S)$, where the |
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< |
subscripts $D$ and $S$ referes to the number of observed data |
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> |
subscripts $D$ and $S$ refer to the number of observed data |
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|
events and expected SUSY events, respectively, in a given region. |
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< |
\item Similarly, at each point in mSugra space we modify the |
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< |
$P_T(\ell\ell)$ background prediction from |
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< |
$K \cdot K_C \cdot D'_D$ to $K \cdot K_C \cdot (D'_D - D'_S)$, |
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< |
where the subscript $D$ and $S$ are defined as above. |
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< |
\item At each point in mSUGRA space we recalculate $N_{UL}$ |
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< |
using the weighted average of the modified $ABCD$ and |
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< |
$P_T(\ell\ell)$ method predictions. |
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< |
\end{itemize} |
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< |
|
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\noindent This procedure results in a reduced background prediction, |
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< |
and therefore a less stringent $N_{UL}$. |
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> |
We then recalculate $N_{UL}$ at each point using this modified |
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> |
ABCD background estimation. For simplicity we ignore |
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> |
information from the $P_T(\ell \ell)$ |
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> |
background estimation. This is conservative, since |
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> |
the $P_T(\ell\ell)$ background estimation happens to |
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> |
be numerically larger than the one from ABCD. |
276 |
|
|
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|
Note, however, that in some cases this procedure is |
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|
nonsensical. For example, take LM0 as a SUSY |
286 |
|
BG prediction (which is nonsense, so we set it to zero), |
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|
and therefore a weaker limit. |
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|
|
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+ |
|
290 |
+ |
|
291 |
+ |
|
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|
\begin{figure}[tbh] |
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\begin{center} |
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\includegraphics[width=0.5\linewidth]{sigcont.png} |
300 |
|
\end{center} |
301 |
|
\end{figure} |
302 |
|
|
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< |
Despite these reservations, we follow the procedure suggested |
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< |
to us. A comparison of the exclusion region with and without |
307 |
< |
the signal contamination is shown in Figure~\ref{fig:sigcont} |
303 |
> |
A comparison of the exclusion region with and without |
304 |
> |
signal contamination is shown in Figure~\ref{fig:sigcont} |
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|
(with no smoothing). The effect of signal contamination is |
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< |
small. |
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> |
small, of the same order as the quantization of the scan. |
307 |
> |
|
308 |
|
|
309 |
|
\subsubsection{mSUGRA scans with different values of tan$\beta$} |
310 |
|
\label{sec:tanbetascan} |