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Revision 1.33 by claudioc, Thu Jan 13 23:21:08 2011 UTC vs.
Revision 1.34 by claudioc, Fri Jan 14 00:02:59 2011 UTC

# Line 227 | Line 227 | show the raw results, without smoothing)
227   mSUGRA parameter space,
228   assuming $\tan\beta=3$, sign of $\mu = +$ and $A_{0}=0$~GeVs
229   using different models for the nuisance parameters.
230 < PDF UNCERTAINTOES ARE NOT INCLUDED.}
230 > PDF UNCERTAINTIES ARE NOT INCLUDED.}
231   \end{center}
232   \end{figure}
233  
234 < We find that the set of excluded points is identical for the
235 < lognormal and gamma models.  There are small differences for the
236 < gaussian model. Following the recommendation of Reference~\cite{ref:cousins},
237 < we use the lognormal nuisance parameter model.
234 > We find that different assumptions on the PDFs for the nuisance
235 > parameters make very small differences to the set of excluded
236 > points.
237 > Following the recommendation of Reference~\cite{ref:cousins},
238 > we use the lognormal nuisance parameter model as the default.
239  
240  
241   \clearpage
# Line 242 | Line 243 | we use the lognormal nuisance parameter
243  
244   \subsubsection{Effect of signal contamination}
245   \label{sec:contlimit}
246 +
247   Signal contamination could affect the limit by inflating the
248   background expectation.  In our case we see no evidence of signal
249   contamination, within statistics.
# Line 260 | Line 262 | the data driven methods as confirmations
262  
263   Nevertheless, here we explore the possible effect of
264   signal contamination.  The procedure suggested to us
265 < is the following:
264 < \begin{itemize}
265 < \item At each point in mSUGRA space we modify the
265 > for the ABCD method is to modify the
266   ABCD background prediction from $A_D \cdot C_D/B_D$ to
267   $(A_D-A_S) \cdot (C_D-C_S) / (B_D - B_S)$, where the
268 < subscripts $D$ and $S$ referes to the number of observed data
268 > subscripts $D$ and $S$ refer to the number of observed data
269   events and expected SUSY events, respectively, in a given region.
270 < \item Similarly, at each point in mSugra space we modify the
271 < $P_T(\ell\ell)$ background prediction from
272 < $K \cdot K_C \cdot D'_D$ to $K \cdot K_C \cdot (D'_D - D'_S)$,
273 < where the subscript $D$ and $S$ are defined as above.
274 < \item At each point in mSUGRA space we recalculate $N_{UL}$
275 < using the weighted average of the modified $ABCD$ and
276 < $P_T(\ell\ell)$ method predictions.  
277 < \end{itemize}
278 <
279 < \noindent This procedure results in a reduced background prediction,
280 < and therefore a less stringent $N_{UL}$.  
270 > We then recalculate $N_{UL}$ at each point using this modified
271 > ABCD background estimation.  For simplicity we ignore
272 > information from the $P_T(\ell \ell)$
273 > background estimation.  This is conservative, since
274 > the $P_T(\ell\ell)$ background estimation happens to
275 > be numerically larger than the one from ABCD.
276  
277   Note, however, that in some cases this procedure is
278   nonsensical.  For example, take LM0 as a SUSY
# Line 291 | Line 286 | LM0 hypothesis.  Instead, we now get a n
286   BG prediction (which is nonsense, so we set it to zero),
287   and therefore a weaker limit.
288  
289 +
290 +
291 +
292   \begin{figure}[tbh]
293   \begin{center}
294   \includegraphics[width=0.5\linewidth]{sigcont.png}
# Line 302 | Line 300 | PDF UNCERTAINTIES ARE NOT INCLUDED.}
300   \end{center}
301   \end{figure}
302  
303 < Despite these reservations, we follow the procedure suggested
304 < to us.  A comparison of the exclusion region with and without
307 < the signal contamination is shown in Figure~\ref{fig:sigcont}
303 > A comparison of the exclusion region with and without
304 > signal contamination is shown in Figure~\ref{fig:sigcont}
305   (with no smoothing).  The effect of signal contamination is
306 < small.
306 > small, of the same order as the quantization of the scan.
307 >
308  
309   \subsubsection{mSUGRA scans with different values of tan$\beta$}
310   \label{sec:tanbetascan}

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