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1 \section{Limit on new physics}
2 \label{sec:limit}
3
4 %{\bf \color{red} The numbers in this Section need to be double checked.}
5
6 As discussed in Section~\ref{sec:results}, we see one event
7 in the signal region, defined as SumJetPt$>$300 GeV and
8 \met/$\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}>8.5$ GeV$^{\frac{1}{2}}$.
9
10 The background prediction from the SM Monte Carlo is
11 1.3 events.
12 %, where the uncertainty comes from
13 %the jet energy scale (30\%, see Section~\ref{sec:systematics}),
14 %the luminosity (10\%), and the lepton/trigger
15 %efficiency (10\%)\footnote{Other uncertainties associated with
16 %the modeling of $t\bar{t}$ in MadGraph have not been evaluated.
17 %The uncertainty on $pp \to \sigma(t\bar{t})$ is also not included.}.
18 The data driven background predictions from the ABCD method
19 and the $P_T(\ell\ell)$ method are $1.5 \pm 0.9({\rm stat}) \pm 0.3({\rm syst})$
20 and $4.3 \pm 3.0({\rm stat}) \pm 1.2({\rm syst})$, respectively.
21
22 These three predictions are in good agreement with each other
23 and with the observation of one event in the signal region.
24 We calculate a Bayesian 95\% CL upper limit\cite{ref:bayes.f}
25 on the number of non SM events in the signal region to be 4.1.
26 This was calculated using a background prediction of $N_{BG}=1.7 \pm 1.1$
27 events. The upper limit is not very sensitive to the choice of
28 $N_{BG}$ and its uncertainty.
29
30 To get a feeling for the sensitivity of this search to some
31 popular SUSY models, we remind the reader of the number of expected
32 LM0 and LM1 events from Table~\ref{tab:sigcont}: $6.3 \pm 1.3$
33 events and $2.6 \pm 0.4$
34 respectively, where the uncertainties
35 are from energy scale (Section~\ref{sec:systematics}), luminosity,
36 and lepton efficiency. Note that these expected SUSY yields
37 are computed using LO cross-sections, and are therefore underestimated.
38
39 Conveying additional useful information about the results of
40 a generic ``signature-based'' search such as the one described
41 in this note is a difficult issue. The next paragraph represent
42 our attempt at doing so.
43
44 Other models of new physics in the dilepton final state
45 can be confronted in an approximate way by simple
46 generator-level studies that
47 compare the expected number of events in 35 pb$^{-1}$
48 with our upper limit of 4.1 events. The key ingredients
49 of such studies are the kinematical cuts described
50 in this note, the lepton efficiencies, and the detector
51 responses for SumJetPt and \met/$\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$~\footnote{Please note
52 that the following quantities have been evaluated with Spring10 MC samples.}.
53 The muon identification efficiency is $\approx 95\%$;
54 the electron identification efficiency varies from $\approx$ 63\% at
55 $P_T = 10$ GeV to 91\% for $P_T > 30$ GeV. The isolation
56 efficiency in top events varies from $\approx 83\%$ (muons)
57 and $\approx 89\%$ (electrons) at $P_T=10$ GeV to
58 $\approx 95\%$ for $P_T>60$ GeV. The average detector
59 responses for SumJetPt and $\met/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$ are
60 $1.00 \pm 0.05$ and $0.94 \pm 0.05$ respectively, where
61 the uncertainties are from the jet energy scale uncertainty.
62 The experimental resolutions on these quantities are 10\% and
63 14\% respectively.
64
65 To justify the statements in the previous paragraph
66 about the detector responses, we plot
67 in Figure~\ref{fig:response} the average response for
68 SumJetPt and \met/$\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$ in MC, as well as the
69 efficiency for the cuts on these quantities used in defining the
70 signal region.
71 % (SumJetPt $>$ 300 GeV and \met/$\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt} > 8.5$
72 % Gev$^{\frac{1}{2}}$).
73 We find that the average SumJetPt response
74 in the Monte Carlo
75 is very close to one, with an RMS of order 10\% while
76 the
77 response of \met/$\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$ is approximately 0.94 with an
78 RMS of 14\%.
79
80 %Using this information as well as the kinematical
81 %cuts described in Section~\ref{sec:eventSel} and the lepton efficiencies
82 %of Figures~\ref{fig:effttbar}, one should be able to confront
83 %any existing or future model via a relatively simple generator
84 %level study by comparing the expected number of events in 35 pb$^{-1}$
85 %with our upper limit of 4.1 events.
86
87 \begin{figure}[tbh]
88 \begin{center}
89 \includegraphics[width=\linewidth]{selectionEff.png}
90 \caption{\label{fig:response} Left plots: the efficiencies
91 as a function of the true quantities for the SumJetPt (top) and
92 tcMET/$\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$ (bottom) requirements for the signal
93 region as a function of their true values. The value of the
94 cuts is indicated by the vertical line.
95 Right plots: The average response and its RMS for the SumJetPt
96 (top) and tcMET/$\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$ (bottom) measurements.
97 The response is defined as the ratio of the reconstructed quantity
98 to the true quantity in MC. These plots are done using the LM0
99 Monte Carlo, but they are not expected to depend strongly on
100 the underlying physics.}
101 \end{center}
102 \end{figure}