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# Line 1 | Line 1
1 < \clearpage
1 > %\clearpage
2  
3   \section{Results}
4   \label{sec:results}
# Line 14 | Line 14 | show our choice of ABCD regions.}
14  
15   The data, together with SM expectations is presented
16   in Figure~\ref{fig:abcdData}.  We see 1 event in the
17 < signal region (region $D$).  The Standard Model MC
18 < expectation is 1.4 events.
17 > signal region (region $D$).  For more information about
18 > this one candidate events, see Appendix~\ref{sec:cand}.
19 > The Standard Model MC expectation is 1.4 events.
20  
21   \subsection{Background estimate from the ABCD method}
22   \label{sec:abcdres}
23  
24   The data yields in the
25   four regions are summarized in Table~\ref{tab:datayield}.
26 < The prediction of the ABCD method is is given by $A\times C/B$ and
27 < is 1.5 events. (see Table~\ref{tab:datayield}.  
26 > The prediction of the ABCD method is is given by $k_{ABCD} \times (A\times C/B)$ and
27 > is $1.8 \pm 1.0(stat) \pm 0.4(syst)$ events, where $k_{ABCD} = 1.2 \pm 0.2$ as discussed
28 > in Sec.~\ref{sec:abcd}.
29  
30   \begin{table}[hbt]
31   \begin{center}
32   \caption{\label{tab:datayield} Data yields in the four
33   regions of Figure~\ref{fig:abcdData}, as well as the predicted yield in region D given
34 < by A$\times$C / B.  The quoted uncertainty
34 > by A $\times$C / B.  The quoted uncertainty
35   on the prediction in data is statistical only, assuming Gaussian errors.
36   We also show the SM Monte Carlo expectations, scaled to 34.85~pb$^{-1}$.}
37   \begin{tabular}{l||c|c|c|c||c}
38   \hline
39 <         sample   &              A   &              B   &              C   &              D   & A$\times$C / B  \\
39 >         sample                          &              A   &              B   &              C   &              D   & A $\times$ C / B  \\
40   \hline
41 +
42   $t\bar{t}\rightarrow \ell^{+}\ell^{-}$   &           7.96   &          33.07   &           4.81   &           1.20   &           1.16  \\
43 < $t\bar{t}\rightarrow \mathrm{other}$   &           0.15   &           0.85   &           0.09   &           0.04   &           0.02  \\
44 <   $Z^0$ + jets   &           0.00   &           1.16   &           0.08   &           0.08   &           0.00  \\
45 < $W^{\pm}$ + jets   &           0.00   &           0.10   &           0.00   &           0.00   &           0.00  \\
46 <       $W^+W^-$   &           0.19   &           0.29   &           0.02   &           0.07   &           0.02  \\
47 <   $W^{\pm}Z^0$   &           0.03   &           0.04   &           0.01   &           0.01   &           0.00  \\
48 <       $Z^0Z^0$   &           0.00   &           0.03   &           0.00   &           0.00   &           0.00  \\
49 <     single top   &           0.28   &           1.00   &           0.04   &           0.01   &           0.01  \\
43 > $t\bar{t}\rightarrow \mathrm{other}$     &           0.15   &           0.85   &           0.09   &           0.04   &           0.02  \\
44 > $Z^0 \rightarrow \ell^{+}\ell^{-}$       &           0.03   &           1.47   &           0.10   &           0.10   &           0.00  \\
45 > $W^{\pm}$ + jets                         &           0.00   &           0.10   &           0.00   &           0.00   &           0.00  \\
46 >       $W^+W^-$                          &           0.19   &           0.29   &           0.02   &           0.07   &           0.02  \\
47 >   $W^{\pm}Z^0$                          &           0.03   &           0.04   &           0.01   &           0.01   &           0.00  \\
48 >       $Z^0Z^0$                          &           0.00   &           0.03   &           0.00   &           0.00   &           0.00  \\
49 >     single top                          &           0.28   &           1.00   &           0.04   &           0.01   &           0.01  \\
50   \hline
51 <    total SM MC   &           8.61   &          36.54   &           5.05   &           1.41   &           1.19  \\
51 >    total SM MC                          &           8.63   &          36.85   &           5.07   &           1.43   &           1.19  \\
52   \hline
53 <           data   &             11   &             36   &              5   &              1   &1.53 $\pm$ 0.86  \\
53 >           data                          &             11   &             36   &              5   &              1   &  $1.53 \pm 0.86$  \\
54   \hline
55   \end{tabular}
56   \end{center}
# Line 59 | Line 62 | $W^{\pm}$ + jets   &           0.00   &
62   %estimate of the $t\bar{t}$ contribution.  The result
63   %of this exercise is {\color{red} xx} events.
64  
65 + %\clearpage
66 +
67   \subsection{Background estimate from the $P_T(\ell\ell)$ method}
68   \label{sec:victoryres}
69  
70 + We first use the $P_T(\ell \ell)$ method to predict the number of events
71 + in control region A, defined in Sec.~\ref{sec:abcd} as
72 + $125<{\rm SumJetPt}>300$~GeV and $\met/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}>$8.5~GeV$^{1/2}$.
73 + We count the number of events in region
74 + $A'$, defined in Sec.~\ref{sec:othBG} by replacing the above $\met/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$
75 + cut with the same cut on the quantity $P_T(\ell\ell)/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$,
76 + and find $N_{A'}=6$. We subtract off the expected DY contribution in this region
77 + $N_{DY} = 2.5 \pm 2.4$, derived in Sec.~\ref{sec:othBG}.
78 + To predict the yield in region A we take
79 + $N_A = K \cdot K_C \cdot ( N_{A'} - N_{DY} ) = 6.1 \pm 6.0$
80 + (statistical uncertainty only, assuming Gaussian errors),
81 + where we have taken $K = 1.73$ and $K_C = 1$. This yield is consistent
82 + with the observed yield of 11 events, as shown in
83 + Table~\ref{tab:victory_control} and displayed in Fig.~\ref{fig:victory} (left).
84 +
85 + Encouraged by the good agreement between predicted and observed yields
86 + in the control region, we proceed to perform the $P_T(\ell \ell)$ method
87 + in the signal region ${\rm SumJetPt}>300$~GeV.
88   The number of data events in region $D'$, which is defined in
89   Section~\ref{sec:othBG} to be the same as region $D$ but with the
90   $\met/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$ requirement
91 < replaced by a $P_T(\ell\ell)/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$ requirement
92 < is $N_{D'}=2$.  Thus the BG prediction is
93 < $N_D = K \cdot K_C \cdot N_{D'} = 1.5$
94 < where $K=1.5 \pm xx$ as derived in Sec.~\ref{sec:victory} and
95 < $K_C = 1$.
96 < Note that if we were to subtract off from region $D'$
97 < the {\color{red} 0.8 $\pm$ 0.8} DY events estimated from
98 < Section~\ref{sec:othBG}, the background
99 < prediction would change to $N_D=1.8 \pm xx$ events.
100 <
101 < %%%TO BE REPLACED
102 < %{\color{red}As mentioned previously, for the 11/pb analysis
80 < %we use the $K$ factor from data and take $K=1$.
81 < %This will change for the full dataset.  We will also pay
82 < %more attention to the statistical errors.}
83 <
84 < %The number of data events in region $D'$, which is defined in
85 < %Section~\ref{sec:othBG} to be the same as region $D$ but with the
86 < %$\met/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$ requirement
87 < %replaced by a $P_T(\ell\ell)/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$ requirement
88 < %is $N_{D'}=1$.  Thus the BG prediction is
89 < %$N_D = K \cdot K_{\rm fudge} \cdot N_{D'} = 1.5$
90 < %where we used $K=1.5 \pm xx$ and $K_{\rm fudge}=1.0 \pm 0.0$.
91 < %Note that if we were to subtract off from region $D'$
92 < %the {\color{red} 0.4 $\pm$ 0.4} DY events estimated from
93 < %Section~\ref{sec:othBG}, the background
94 < %prediction would change to $N_D=0.9 \pm xx$ events.
95 < %{\color{red} When we do this with a real
96 < %$K_{\rm fudge}$, the fudge factor will be different
97 < %after the DY subtraction.}
98 <
99 < As a cross-check, we use the $P_T(\ell \ell)$
100 < method to also predict the number of events in the
101 < control region $125<{\rm SumJetPt}<300$ GeV and
102 < \met/$\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt} > 8.5$.  We predict
103 < $5.6^{+x}_{-y}$ events and we observe 4.
104 < The results of the $P_T(\ell\ell)$ method are
105 < summarized in Figure~\ref{fig:victory}.
91 > replaced by a $P_T(\ell\ell)/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$ requirement,
92 > is $N_{D'}=2$.  
93 > We next subtract off the expected DY contribution of
94 > $N_{DY}$ = $0.4 \pm 0.4$ events, as calculated
95 > in Sec.~\ref{sec:othBG}. The BG prediction is
96 > $N_D = K \cdot K_C \cdot (N_{D'}-N_{DY}) = 2.5 \pm 2.2$ (statistical
97 > uncertainty only, assuming Gaussian errors), where $K=1.54 \pm xx$
98 > as derived in Sec.~\ref{sec:victory} and $K_C = 1$.
99 > This prediction is consistent with the observed yield of
100 > 1 event, as summarized in Table~\ref{tab:victory_signal} and Fig.~\ref{fig:victory}
101 > (right).
102 >
103  
104   \begin{figure}[hbt]
105   \begin{center}
# Line 117 | Line 114 | ${P_T(\ell\ell)}/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt}$ in
114   \end{figure}
115  
116  
117 +
118 + \begin{table}[hbt]
119 + \begin{center}
120 + \caption{\label{tab:victory_control}Results of the dilepton $p_{T}$ template method in the control region
121 + $125 < \mathrm{sumJetPt} < 300$~GeV$^{1/2}$. The predicted and observed yields for
122 + the region $\mathrm{tcmet}/\sqrt{\mathrm{sumJetPt}}>$~8.5 are shown for data
123 + and MC. The error on the prediction for data is statistical only, assuming
124 + Gaussian errors.}
125 + \begin{tabular}{lccc}
126 + \hline
127 +              & Predicted           &   Observed &  Obs/Pred \\
128 + \hline
129 + total SM   MC &      7.18           &       8.63 &      1.20 \\
130 +         data &    $6.06 \pm 5.95$  &         11 &      1.82 \\
131 + \hline
132 + \end{tabular}
133 + \end{center}
134 + \end{table}
135 +
136 + \begin{table}[hbt]
137 + \begin{center}
138 + \caption{\label{tab:victory_signal}Results of the dilepton $p_{T}$ template method in the signal region
139 + $\mathrm{sumJetPt} > 300$~GeV$^{1/2}$. The predicted and observed yields for
140 + the region $\mathrm{tcmet}/\sqrt{\mathrm{sumJetPt}}>$~8.5 are shown for data
141 + and MC. The error on the prediction for data is statistical only, assuming
142 + Gaussian errors.}
143 + \begin{tabular}{lccc}
144 + \hline
145 +              & Predicted                &   Observed &  Obs/Pred \\
146 + \hline
147 + total SM   MC &      1.03                &       1.43 &      1.38 \\
148 +         data &    $2.53 \pm 2.25$       &          1 &      0.40 \\
149 + \hline
150 + \end{tabular}
151 + \end{center}
152 + \end{table}
153 +
154 +
155 + % \clearpage
156   \subsection{Summary of results}
157 < To summarize: we see no evidence for an anomalous
157 >
158 > In summary, in the signal region defined as $\mathrm{SumJetPt}>300$~GeV and $\met/\sqrt{\rm SumJetPt} > 8.5$~GeV$^{1/2}$:\\
159 > We observe 1 event. \\
160 > We expect 1.4 events from Standard Model MC prediction. \\
161 > The ABCD data driven method predicts $1.8 \pm 1.0(stat) \pm 0.4(syst)$ events. \\
162 > The  $P_T(\ell\ell)$ method predicts $2.5 \pm 2.2$ events.
163 >  
164 > All three background estimates are consistent within their uncertainties.
165 > We thus take as our best estimate of the Standard Model yield in
166 > the signal region the MC prediction and assign as an uncertainty the
167 > maximal deviation with either of the data-driven methods,  $N_{BG}=1.4 \pm 1.1$.
168 >
169 > We conclude that we see no evidence for an anomalous
170   rate of opposite sign isolated dilepton events
171   at high \met and high SumJetPt.  The extraction of
172   quantitative limits on new physics models is discussed

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